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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 23, 2025 10:32
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

3570-3650

Mark Price

3654.39

Actual Price

3672.09

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Current price is near the lower Bollinger Band with percent_b at 0.007402, close to extreme support yet no signs of rebound.
  • MACD is negative, with DIF and DEA both far from zero line, and MACD histogram continues to expand, indicating a persistent weakening trend.
  • The moving average system (MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA50) shows a clear bearish alignment; short-term and mid-term momentum are weakening.
  • RSI6 is very low (16.04), and RSI12/14 are also weak, indicating extremely oversold condition in the short term with no reversal signals yet.
  • KDJ's J value has dropped significantly below K and D, with both at low levels, showing strong downward momentum and no immediate rebound signal.
  • DMI indicator’s -DMI exceeds +DMI notably, and ADX is rising, suggesting the current bearish trend is relatively strong.
  • While large traders’ long-short positions and account ratios tend to favor longs, the active buy-sell ratio is low, indicating that although the long positions are heavy, market short-term activity remains weak.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Current ETHUSDT is continuing to retrace; the candlestick chart shows a decline from a high point with oscillating downward movement and a lack of significant rebounds. The lower Bollinger Band has been tested multiple times, indicating that support below may be at risk of being broken. The MACD indicator continues to decline without any signs of convergence, dominated by a bearish trend. Both RSI and KDJ indicate heavy selling pressure, but the bearish sentiment has not yet been exhausted; the probability of a short-term oversold rebound remains low. Although large account holdings are relatively bullish, active buying and selling ratios are skewed towards the bearish side (0.8610), and combined with low KDJ and RSI levels, suggesting funds have yet to drive a rebound. Instead, leveraged long positions being squeezed may trigger further downward moves. The moving average system shows a bearish alignment, with the current price breaking below the MA5, MA10, and MA20 levels consecutively. Short-term momentum is downward-dominant, and there are no clear signals of buying interest from technicals. Support is around 3525; although the downside potential is limited with about 1-2% volatility, breaking below the 3650 area would test previous lows at 3570 and the strong support at 3525. ATR is relatively moderate, indicating volatility is not extreme, which favors short positions. Clear short-selling opportunities exist. Stop-loss can be set around the middle Bollinger Band (~3700). A lack of upward momentum will likely lead to continued decline. Overall judgment indicates continued decline over the next 1 hour. Short positions are recommended around the 3570-3650 area; once broken, partial profit-taking can be considered. Long positions should be temporarily on hold, awaiting full exhaustion of oversold conditions before seeking rebound opportunities.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(16.0437) rsi12(34.4087) rsi14(38.3279)
  • MACD:dif(-11.3555) dea(-4.8887) macd(-12.9336)
  • MA:ma5(3673.86) ma10(3673.86) ma20(3707.18)
  • Boll:up(3760.43) mid(3707.18) down(3653.92)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6313260.811 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.48%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.6323
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 23, 2025 10:32

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1769

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.