LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 22, 2025 20:08
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3640-3730

Mark Price

3682.4

Actual Price

3696.79

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger %B at 0.39, near the lower side close to the middle band, suggests that short-term oscillation is predominant.
  • MACD remains negative but shows a slight golden cross (dif > dea), indicating a weakening of downward momentum and a consolidating state.
  • The short-term RSI6 is at 37.13, slightly weak; RSI14 is at 48.51, near the midpoint, showing that buying momentum is weakening but not yet oversold.
  • KDJ indicator's J value is below K and D, quickly moving downward and then leveling off, indicating oscillation and absorption of oversold energy.
  • The bullish/bearish ratio and large holder long-short positions are both heavily skewed (large holder long-short ratio as high as 3.22), but active buy-sell ratio is below 0.8, showing market preference for longs but reluctance to chase high, which supports lower support levels.
  • Price remains below MA5/10/20 and is clearly under pressure from MA50, indicating the short-term trend has not recharted and remains in consolidation.
  • 24-hour trading volume and turnover are sufficient; amplitude has contracted, and volatility (ATR=48.04) is moderate, reflecting short-term sideways movement.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently in a consolidation phase following a recent sharp increase. The candlestick pattern shows that after reaching a local top, the price is consolidating at a high level, with a pullback near the short-term MA, and there is no clear directional choice yet. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing (bandwidth=0.036), and %B is only 0.39, indicating that the price is in the lower-middle range, lacking breakout momentum. If the bulls continue to hold the 3650-3640 area, the price will likely continue to oscillate upward; a breakdown could signal weakening. The MACD shows a short-term slight golden cross, indicating a diminishing downward momentum, but the strength is weak, making it unlikely to support a V-shaped rebound. This suggests that the market will remain volatile or oscillating. RSI and KDJ indicators are declining, showing short-term buying interest is weak and needs more accumulation. From on-chain and capital perspectives, large holders’ long and short positions are extremely one-sided (3.22), while retail accounts and trading volume remain relatively stable, indicating increasing structural divergence. The market is in a consolidation phase awaiting a new direction. Key support levels are around 3640-3650 (MA20, middle Bollinger Band, short-term low points). If broken, it will test S1 at 3476; resistance above includes 3730 (upper Bollinger Band, before the limit) and near MA50, with strong resistance at 3826 (R1). Overall, within the next hour, it is highly probable that the price will maintain a sideways oscillation between 3640 and 3730. A short-term wait-and-see approach or a low-buy and high-sell strategy within this range is preferable. A confirmed breakout signal should be awaited before adopting a trend-following stance. Risk warning: Sudden large capital inflows or unexpected news could disrupt the current pattern at any time. Stop-loss and position controls are necessary, and attention should be paid to the effectiveness of the MA20 and the upper and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(37.1345) rsi12(56.1648) rsi14(48.5182)
  • MACD:dif(-13.0946) dea(-14.2197) macd(2.2502)
  • MA:ma5(3695.57) ma10(3695.57) ma20(3696.77)
  • Boll:up(3763.83) mid(3696.77) down(3629.71)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7831418.654 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.77%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.5189
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 22, 2025 20:08

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1742

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.