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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 21, 2025 19:41
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3680-3730

Mark Price

3738.75

Actual Price

3750.64

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band %B at 0.188597, with the current price near the lower band, indicates a clear oscillating downward range.
  • RSI6 at 19.649, RSI12/14 around 40, signals severe short-term overselling but with downward momentum still unrelieved.
  • MACD at -22.4341, in a death cross and continuously enlarging, shows strengthening bearish momentum.
  • KDJ's J-line is negative at -6.6199, with rapid declines in K and D lines, indicating short-term weakness.
  • MA5, MA10, and MA20 are all above the current price, indicating resistance from short-term moving averages.
  • DMI indicators show dmi_minus exceeds dmi_plus, with ADX over 20, confirming a strong unilateral downtrend.
  • The ratio of large account long/short holdings and the number of long/short traders are notably skewed towards long positions, but the amplitude has turned negative, suggesting profit-taking at high levels; short-term bears are currently dominant.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has experienced sustained upward movement in the early phase, but currently shows multiple short-term overselling signals, while downward momentum has intensified. The Bollinger Band %B value is relatively low, with the price approaching the lower band, indicating that阶段性 support is near but no effective rebound has formed. The MACD presents a death cross with significantly increased bearish momentum, indicating market short-term panic and a release of selling pressure. The RSI6 is only 19.6, indicating extreme overselling; RSI12/14 are also very low, suggesting that a further inertial decline is likely before a technical rebound may occur. Trading volume has not notably increased, implying that the current decline is a technical adjustment without major institutional support. The KDJ indicator is rapidly declining, with J-line in negative territory, expected to continue facing short-term pressure. From a sentiment perspective, large account long positions are predominant, but the active buy-sell ratio remains stable, indicating institutional players are gradually reducing long positions and shifting towards a defensive stance. Consolidated support and resistance levels show that recent 1-hour support is concentrated between 3680 and 3730; if this support is broken or rebounds are weak, further testing of 3365 (S1) may occur. The overall assessment indicates that the short-term trend is mainly inertial downward movement, with little chance of large-scale rebound in the near term. It is recommended to adopt a wait-and-see approach for trading; aggressive short positions could be partially closed around 3730 to prevent losses from a strong rebound pattern.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(19.649) rsi12(37.8343) rsi14(39.3442)
  • MACD:dif(11.3546) dea(22.5717) macd(-22.4341)
  • MA:ma5(3763.67) ma10(3763.67) ma20(3777.09)
  • Boll:up(3839.23) mid(3777.09) down(3714.95)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7311919.345 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.55%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3343
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 21, 2025 19:41

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1668

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.