LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 21, 2025 12:04
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bullish

Confidence Level: 78%

Target Price

3810-3850

Mark Price

3796.81

Actual Price

3796.75

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is 0.820624, with the price near the upper region of the Bollinger Bands, slightly below the upper band, indicating no extreme overbought condition.
  • MA5/MA10/MA20 are all progressively higher, and the price is significantly above MA50 and MA200, showing a clear bullish alignment.
  • RSI12/14 around 65, indicating some overbought signals but not extreme, reflecting ongoing upward momentum.
  • MACD histogram (DIF vs DEA) is slightly negative; MACD value is -1.7421, suggesting a weak short-term correction but no definitive reversal.
  • KDJ indicators are overall at high levels without significant divergence, indicating bullish market sentiment.
  • The large trader long-to-short holding ratio is 2.51, substantially skewed towards longs; the proportion of active long and short accounts and active trading ratios are also in bullish territory, signifying dominant institutional long positioning with retail traders not following a clear trend.
  • DMI+ significantly exceeds DMI-, with ADX at 28.568, indicating strong upward trend momentum.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has maintained a continuous upward trend within the past 1-hour cycle, with 400 candlesticks showing a sustained stepwise increase. All moving averages are aligned in a bullish configuration, with MA20, MA50, and MA200 forming solid support levels. The Bollinger Bands are moderately widened, with the price still having room above the upper band, indicating potential short-term upward momentum. The RSI is around 65, entering the bullish dominance zone but not in extreme overbought territory, suggesting room for upward movement. Although the KDJ components show some divergence, they are overall in a relatively bullish area, with no clear overbought reversal signals evident. The MACD shows slight retracement but has not crossed below the signal line, likely representing a short-term oscillation correction rather than a trend reversal. The active buy-sell ratio, the proportion of long to short accounts, and large capital holdings all demonstrate bullish dominance, with institutional traders especially steadfast in their long positions, indicating that major players continue to control the upward movement. 24-hour trading volume and turnover remain elevated, with no indications of large capital exiting the market. When combined with the ADX and DMI trend indicators, the trend remains intact. Recently, the price has lacked clear resistance levels (R1 unavailable), suggesting energy release could quickly test new highs. Support levels are distant from current prices, and the current technical indicators advocate for continuing long positions. It is expected that in the next 1 hour, ETH could break through the short-term resistance at 3810. If market support persists, target prices could range between 3810 and 3850. If the price pulls back and stabilizes above MA5/MA10, partial position addition can be considered; more aggressive traders may attempt speculative entry around current levels near 3810. Risk reminder: High-level volatility may amplify pullback risks. If the price falls below MA10 or the middle Bollinger Band, stop-loss should be executed promptly. Overall strategy favors trend-following long positions, with dynamic stop-loss setups to protect profits. Strict control over position size and risk management is essential.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(56.4012) rsi12(65.7364) rsi14(64.023)
  • MACD:dif(28.1643) dea(29.0353) macd(-1.7421)
  • MA:ma5(3792.78) ma10(3792.78) ma20(3764.77)
  • Boll:up(3812.55) mid(3764.77) down(3716.99)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6806373.081 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.41%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.2158
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 21, 2025 12:04

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1600

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.