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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 21, 2025 12:01
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bullish

Confidence Level: 78%

Target Price

3820-3850

Mark Price

3807.53

Actual Price

3805.02

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price is close to the upper Bollinger Band, with percent_b at 0.92; the price is in a strong zone but still has room to ascend.
  • Moving averages are aligned in a bullish order, with MA5, MA10, MA20, MA50, and MA200 all trending upward, indicating a strong mid- to short-term trend.
  • RSI (6/12/14) all exceed 67; despite being overbought, the short-term strength is evident, with no significant divergence and active momentum remaining.
  • The MACD shows a slight death cross but the value is minimal (-0.2475), and no substantial downtrend momentum is observed.
  • While the KDJ indicator remains high, there are no signs of a clear pullback.
  • Large institutional long-short holdings ratio is 2.5559, with the account ratio at 1.5151, indicating a strong tilt toward long positions.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is 1.1163; the ratio of long to short accounts is 1.1848, reflecting overall market sentiment leaned towards bullishness.
  • ADX is at 28.568, with DMI+ significantly higher than DMI-, signifying sustained strong upward momentum.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The candlestick chart displays a wide ascending channel, with the moving average system fully arranged in a bullish configuration, indicating continuous short- to medium-term capital inflows and strong momentum. Although the price approaches the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, the bandwidth has not yet narrowed to an extreme degree, and the current market environment supports the continuation of an inertial upward push. All three RSI indicator groups are within the 67-71 range. While there is a short-term overbought risk, considering the active capital behavior and large institutional holdings, there is a high probability of new highs following a brief pullback. The MACD dead cross signal is very weak and insufficient to reverse the bullish trend. Large institutional long-short position data is highly skewed towards the long side, and the active buy-sell ratio exceeds 1, indicating that not only institutional funds are driving the market, but also investor sentiment is pushing prices higher. The 24-hour high trading volume and positive funding rate, combined with ADX in a strong trend zone, further enhance the certainty of an upward move. Volatility and ATR are moderate, with no signs of intense fluctuations overall, suggesting that after approaching the upper band, the market is likely to mainly 'gradually push higher,' targeting the 3820-3850 range. Sudden rapid surges may be interpreted as short-term overbought signals, warranting caution against quick pullbacks. Support levels are well below the current price (S1 at 3362), implying limited downside even if minor retracements occur; there are no clear resistance points above, indicating that bulls have room for short-term offensive actions. It is advisable for short-term long positions to proceed cautiously, with heavy positions setting stop-loss orders below 3780 as a safeguard. Partial profit-taking can be executed in the 3840-3850 zone. Overall assessment: ETH/USDT is likely to continue its upward trend, with a 1-hour outlook of oscillating and advancing toward the 3820-3850 range. Unless there is significant capital outflow and conspicuous volume expansion, the trend remains intact.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(67.5992) rsi12(71.0499) rsi14(68.5964)
  • MACD:dif(29.0984) dea(29.2222) macd(-0.2475)
  • MA:ma5(3795.13) ma10(3795.13) ma20(3765.35)
  • Boll:up(3814.88) mid(3765.35) down(3715.83)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6806173.271 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.4%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.1848
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 21, 2025 12:01

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1599

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.