LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 20, 2025 20:27
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3680-3780

Mark Price

3738.56

Actual Price

3755.33

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The price is currently positioned near the upper middle of the Bollinger Band, with %b at approximately 0.626, indicating the market is in a mid-to-upper zone within the Bollinger Bands, exhibiting oscillatory behavior.
  • The MACD line (dif) is slightly below the signal line (dea), with a marginally negative MACD, showing short-term weakness but no clear death cross has formed.
  • The short-term RSI (6) is approximately 39.37, whereas the 12/14/24-period RSI values are quite high at 55.99 / 64.78 / 71.65, suggesting signs of overbought conditions in some timeframes.
  • The J value in the KDJ indicator is extremely low at 9.86, while the K and D lines are maintained around the median, indicating diminishing short-term momentum but no absolute bearish trend.
  • In the order book and capital allocation metrics, large traders' long to short position ratio exceeds 2, indicating strong institutional bullish sentiment. However, the active buy-sell ratio is below 1, reflecting weaker short-term buying pressure among active traders.
  • Support levels are far below the current price (around 3272.3), and there are no significant resistance levels in the immediate short term, making the overall short-term trend prone to oscillation and consolidation.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The recent price of ETHUSDT has been steadily rising, with the candlestick chart showing a clear bullish trend, but within the 1-hour timeframe indicators have begun to diverge. The Bollinger Band's %b is near 0.62, and the price is approaching the upper band, implying some resistance. No strong breakout has been observed in the short term, indicating a predominantly consolidative correction overall. From the MACD perspective, a slight death cross has appeared, suggesting weakened momentum and a need for adjustment. However, no significant downward trend has formed, indicating that the short-term market is mainly oscillating. The RSI across multiple timeframes is significantly above 50, especially the 24-period RSI which exceeds 70, indicating recent overbought conditions and the potential for short-term consolidation or minor retracement. In the KDJ indicator, the J value is extremely low, typically suggesting exhaustion of momentum release, but the K and D lines have not fully turned down, leaving room for oscillations and repeated fluctuations. Regarding capital and order data, large institutional traders hold overwhelmingly long positions, indicating a bias toward bullishness. However, the active buy-sell ratio and the breakdown between long and short positions among accounts are diverging. Short-term retail traders remain cautious or observant, while institutions are engaging in high-level game-playing at elevated prices. Overall, ETHUSDT is expected to mostly fluctuate within a high range over the next hour. Resistance is around 3780, with support near 3680. It is advised to execute high sell and low buy operations within this range. Watch for any indicator inflections or significant increases in trading volume to identify potential directional shifts or breakout risks. Trading advice: conservative traders may remain on the sidelines or engage in swing trades that buy at the lows and sell at the highs. Aggressive traders can attempt small long positions at the lower end of the range, with stop-losses placed at 3670 and targets set between 3770-3780. If a rapid breakdown occurs, it is recommended to stay cautious and observe.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(39.373) rsi12(55.9901) rsi14(64.7899)
  • MACD:dif(43.2427) dea(45.3113) macd(-4.1374)
  • MA:ma5(3756.63) ma10(3756.63) ma20(3709.72)
  • Boll:up(3822.6) mid(3709.72) down(3596.85)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6648233.666 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.76%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.2795
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 20, 2025 20:27

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1572

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.