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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 20, 2025 19:26
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bullish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

3790-3850

Mark Price

3760.95

Actual Price

3739.63

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • ETHUSDT price is within the upper-middle range of Bollinger Bands, with a percent_b of 0.73, indicating clear upward momentum but still room to move up toward the upper band.
  • MACD DIF is above DEA and both are positive; MACD histogram continues to expand, reflecting a strong short-term bullish trend.
  • RSI12 and RSI14 are at 66.92 and 69.23 respectively, approaching overbought territory but not yet out of control, leaving room for upward movement.
  • KDJ indicator J value is below K and D but K and D remain high, with no signs of rapid reversal in the short term.
  • Moving averages are in a bullish arrangement (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA50 > MA200), with prices running strongly along the main upward wave.
  • The number of long versus short accounts ratio is 1.26, and institutional long/short holdings ratio is 2.53, indicating a clear dominance of long positions, with short-term core funds leading the upward trend.
  • ADX stands at 47.32 (>25), with DMI+ at 31.45 significantly exceeding DMI- at 8.78, indicating a very strong trend dominated by bullish forces.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Combining Bollinger Bands, MA bullish alignment, and strong MACD golden cross, ETHUSDT is currently in a strong upward phase, with a clear short-term bullish trend. DMI and ADX indicate a highly directional market, dominated by bullish trends, with large institutional holdings heavily skewed toward the long side. Although RSI is approaching overbought levels, there is still room before reaching extreme positions; overall bullish momentum remains predominant with no clear head-and-shoulders signals. KDJ J line retraces while K/D remains high, indicating potential short-term consolidation or minor oscillation, but the main upward trend persists. Numerous recent candles show continuous main upward wave without hyper-volume stagnation candles, and moderate volume supports continued rise. On-chain sentiment data such as active buy-sell ratios and large institutional long/short account positions suggest main capital is still participating in the upward push, providing ongoing fundamental support for the trend. In the 1-hour timeframe, ETHUSDT is expected to continue challenging near the upper Bollinger Band, with a target price range of 3790-3850. Absent sudden large sell-offs or extreme news, the probability of short-term breakout upward is higher than that of a pullback. Trading suggestion: Consider buying on dips that do not breach the MA5, MA10, and mid-Bollinger Band at around 3700, with stop-loss set below 3730, and take profit at the Bollinger upper band and the upper boundary of the target zone. If a strong resistance level is broken, monitor for potential volume-price divergence.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(54.4559) rsi12(66.9175) rsi14(69.2341)
  • MACD:dif(47.5752) dea(46.0278) macd(3.0948)
  • MA:ma5(3768.58) ma10(3768.58) ma20(3702.96)
  • Boll:up(3827.36) mid(3702.96) down(3578.55)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6570928.586 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.75%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.2589
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 20, 2025 19:26

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1566

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.