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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 20, 2025 06:47
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bullish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

3670-3710

Mark Price

3658.86

Actual Price

3685.83

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • ETHUSDT price has broken through all short- and medium-term moving averages, with MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA50, indicating a strong upward trend.
  • The Bollinger Bands' percent_b is 0.960349, with the price nearing the upper band but not exceeding overflow, suggesting trend inertia persists.
  • The MACD indicator shows DIF far above DEA and the MACD value significantly positive, signaling a strong bullish momentum.
  • RSI6 is at 88.08, and RSI14 is also high at 76.75, indicating short-term extreme overboughtness but still capable of further high-reaching moves in a strong market.
  • Large institutional long-short holdings ratio reaches 2.9275, with capital extremely skewed towards buy positions, and active trading slightly leaning towards buying (0.92).
  • ADX is at 20.01, in the upward confirmation zone, with DMI+ greater than DMI-, indicating an effective bullish trend.
  • Price volatility and trading volume are gradually increasing, characteristic of a main upward wave phase.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Combining the 4-hour and 1-hour K-lines, ETHUSDT has recently exhibited an extremely strong upward swing. The moving averages show a standard bullish arrangement, with the price repeatedly moving upward along the MA5 and MA10, indicating clear signs of active push from the main force. Currently, the Bollinger Bands' percent_b is close to 1, with the price operating near the upper band. Although there is short-term overboughtness, no reversal signal has appeared yet. Coupled with a MACD long bullish crossover, this indicates that momentum continues to persist. The RSI shows extreme overbought levels (88/76), suggesting the possibility of a minor pullback in the short term, but in a trending market, the inertia favors further advance. Traders should be alert to the risk of a rapid retreat after sharp rises, but it is not recommended to prematurely judge a trend reversal. Large institutional holdings are extremely bullish, especially with the number of accounts and positions moving in tandem at high levels. This indicates that the market’s buy-side capital remains intact, with the active buy-sell ratio slightly leaning toward selling or short-term profit-taking, but it does not affect the overall upward trend. Volatility represented by ATR and DMI indicates that the upward trend is still strengthening, with no obvious top signals. The support level has significantly moved down to 3099.6, while resistance R1 has risen to 3674.43. The price may challenge new highs after breaking through R1. Overall, the data suggests that ETHUSDT is highly likely to test and break the 3670-3710 range within the next hour. Afterwards, due to short-term overbought conditions, a pullback may occur. It is advisable to buy on dips and wait for momentum to weaken or for a MACD death cross before considering a shift to weakness. Short-term risk management: If the price fails to break through effectively or closes below 3640, attention should be paid to the risk of a short-term pullback to MA10. The primary trend remains unchanged. A stop-loss is recommended below 3640, with take-profit targets in the 3710-3730 range. In a strong trending market, caution is advised against chasing the high; however, sustained increasing volume suggests that trading with the trend remains the mainstream. Future focus should be on whether trading volume and MACD divergence signals appear.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(88.0798) rsi12(83.7337) rsi14(76.7568)
  • MACD:dif(24.3109) dea(15.0223) macd(18.5772)
  • MA:ma5(3646.12) ma10(3646.12) ma20(3585.51)
  • Boll:up(3664.53) mid(3585.51) down(3506.5)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:3921186.775 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.41%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.2237
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 20, 2025 06:47

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1429

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.