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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 19, 2025 18:28
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3525-3595

Mark Price

3555.25

Actual Price

3652.36

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Bands percent_b is 0.455, indicating the price is below the middle band and somewhat weak, but not close to the lower band. The Bollinger Bands are generally converging, suggesting short-term consolidation.
  • MACD indicator's dif and MACD values are significantly negative, reflecting short-term bearish momentum dominance, but the DEA remains positive, indicating no robust downward resonance.
  • RSI across multiple timeframes remains between 40 and 47, showing a slightly weak condition but not oversold; no clear trend direction is observed.
  • KDJ three-line averages are between 40 and 54, with no extreme overselling, and the J line is slightly higher, indicating short-term elasticity without breaking through.
  • MA5 is below the long-term moving averages and is sticking close to MA10 and MA20. Following a short-term weakening, the price is consolidating, with insufficient momentum.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is 0.9353, below 1, indicating short-term bearish activity; however, large institutional holdings and account numbers continue to favor long positions, showing sustained capital strength.
  • DMI indicators show dmi_minus higher than dmi_plus, with a relatively low ADX, implying a weak trending environment that is prone to oscillation.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT current price is 3555, Bollinger Bands upper band at 3592.91, middle band at 3558.3, lower band at 3523.68. The overall trading range is converging, with recent prices fluctuating narrowly between the middle and lower bands, indicating a consolidation trend. Based on MACD and RSI indicators, the market currently shows no strong bullish or bearish signals. Short-term moving averages are congested, and there is a need for consolidation at the 15-minute to 1-hour levels, lacking momentum to break new highs or lows. The volume has decreased after a high, with the active buy-sell ratio leaning bearish, suggesting retail trader sentiment is becoming cautious; however, large institutional funds still predominantly favor bullish positions, indicating strong support below and no breakdown yet. Support and resistance levels are confirmed; R1 stands at 3628.99, which is relatively distant, while support at 3525-3550 can still absorb short-term pullbacks. In extreme weakness, attention should be paid to below S1 at 2966. Expect consolidated trading in the 3525-3595 range over the next hour with no effective breakout drivers. Historical candlestick patterns show sustained upward movement followed by horizontal adjustments at high levels. Currently, momentum is waning, short-term volatility is narrowing, and both fast and slow moving averages are intertwined. Overall assessment indicates that within this oscillating pattern, short-term long and short entries do not present high-probability conditions; a cautious stance is preferred. It is advisable to wait for support at the lower band or a breakout above resistance before making trading decisions.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(46.6712) rsi12(43.999) rsi14(38.1875)
  • MACD:dif(-0.9597) dea(1.7431) macd(-5.4056)
  • MA:ma5(3547.83) ma10(3547.83) ma20(3558.3)
  • Boll:up(3592.91) mid(3558.3) down(3523.68)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:4644525.105 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.36%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3652
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 19, 2025 18:28

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1378

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.