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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 19, 2025 02:34
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3520-3610

Mark Price

3558.71

Actual Price

3593.78

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Currently, the ETHUSDT price is below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, deviating significantly from the upper band; percent_b is 0.366, indicating a somewhat weaker zone but not an extreme oversold condition.
  • The MACD stands at -22.8676, with DIF and DEA both declining, suggesting that short-term momentum weakens but no strong downtrend is evident, with the market mainly consolidating.
  • RSI6 is at 67, showing signs of a short-term headwind turning downward; RSI14 is at 37, reflecting that bearish momentum is dominant but close to oversold levels, indicating limited further downside potential.
  • J-value of KDJ is at 61, K at 46, and D at 39, indicating some short-term rebound capacity but lacking strong momentum to sustain upward breakthroughs against resistance.
  • Active buy/sell ratio in recent periods remains neutral-skewed towards bulls; however, large traders' holdings and account distributions demonstrate gradually weakening bullish strength, suggesting consolidation in the short term.
  • Recent volatility (ATR) is relatively low; DMI is bearish, but the ADX is only 19, indicating weakening trend strength. The amplitude is -1.465, and the market is in a phase of gradual convergence.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

From the hourly K-line perspective, ETHUSDT previously experienced a significant rally, now entering a technical correction and range-bound consolidation phase. The Bollinger Band width has narrowed to 4.1%, reflecting a convergence of volatility within the trading range. The current price has not touched the upper or lower bands; it is unlikely to break above the upper band (3650) within the 1-hour cycle. The middle band at 3578 and the lower band at 3505 serve as the primary short-term trading ranges. The moving average system indicates that MA5 is slightly below the current price, but the bullish alignment is hindered. The bullish trend has found some repair; however, short-term resistance increases. The MACD shows a death cross with the histogram being negative, indicating short-term capital flows favoring bears, but the adjustment space is limited, and no smooth trend has formed yet. Although large traders' holdings ratio is significantly skewed towards the long side, the active buy/sell ratio has returned to balance, and the RSI has declined. The market's bullish momentum might be temporarily exhausted, likely leading to consolidation. High-volume levels have retreated, indicating short-term divergence among chips, with mainstream capital cautiously observing. Downward space is limited, making significant short-term volatility less probable. Strong support levels are located in the 2930-2900 range, which is relatively distant from the current price. It is expected that in the next hour, the price will likely oscillate between 3520 and 3610. Unless an unexpected breakout occurs, short-term traders are advised to observe or to buy low and sell high within the range.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(67.3025) rsi12(44.8699) rsi14(37.4153)
  • MACD:dif(5.9667) dea(17.4004) macd(-22.8676)
  • MA:ma5(3542.01) ma10(3542.01) ma20(3578.73)
  • Boll:up(3652.57) mid(3578.73) down(3504.9)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:8795781.662 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.72%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3585
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 19, 2025 02:34

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1350

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.