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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 18, 2025 23:55
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3510-3595

Mark Price

3543.78

Actual Price

3531.91

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current Bollinger Bands percent_b is 0.183501, with the price near the lower band, indicating some downward exploration but no break below the band, exhibiting overall weak oscillation with a bias toward the bearish side.
  • MACD DIF is below DEA and its histogram is negative, reflecting weakening short-term momentum and a bearish oscillation.
  • RSI6 is only 29.791, while RSI14 is 36.2774—both in oversold or relatively weak zones—implying limited room for significant further declines in the short term, though upward rebound momentum remains insufficient.
  • KDJ oscillators are in the low zone, with K and D values near crossover points, indicating weak oscillation.
  • Active buying and selling ratio is 0.9029, suggesting that buying strength is relatively weak and market enthusiasm is moderate.
  • The large holder long-to-short position ratio is as high as 3.2587, indicating that major funds are leaning long, but overall market volume has not effectively followed through, leading to potential bullish disagreement.
  • The current levels of MA5, MA10, and MA20 are slightly above the current price, with most moving averages in a bullish arrangement but indicating short-term correction.
  • ATR and volatility are moderate, signifying a low likelihood of sharp short-term fluctuations, primarily suggesting range-bound oscillation.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently between the lower band and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and percent_b is relatively low. Historically, this position often indicates weak oscillations or brief rebounds, lacking strong reversal signals. MACD shows downside momentum is prevailing, but the DIF is gradually approaching the DEA, accompanied by the short-term RSI near the oversold threshold, suggesting limited decline within one hour and a tendency toward weak oscillation. Large holders' positions are biased towards long, but active funds and account numbers do not effectively align, raising doubts about the sustainability of any rebound. In the short term, the price is likely to continue consolidating at low levels with minor fluctuations. The moving averages are in a bullish arrangement and remain intact, but the MA5 is below the MA10 and MA20, indicating a significant short-term correction. The MA50 and MA200 are far from the current price, suggesting a low probability of reversal. Volatility is low with limited amplitude; overall trading volume is moderate. The price range may be confined between the lower band and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with convergence in both directions. Short-term trading strategies should involve buying during dips and selling on rallies. If increased volume occurs along with persistent divergence in RSI and KDJ indicators, a trend direction might be confirmed. Otherwise, the price is expected to fluctuate within the 3510-3595 range. Overall, ETHUSDT lacks upward momentum for a breakout in the short term, so continued consolidation is likely. The space for bearish momentum to unfold is limited. It is recommended to wait for support levels to be confirmed before considering long opportunities.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(29.791) rsi12(37.6685) rsi14(36.2774)
  • MACD:dif(11.5052) dea(27.7943) macd(-32.5781)
  • MA:ma5(3540.47) ma10(3540.47) ma20(3594.26)
  • Boll:up(3675.46) mid(3594.26) down(3513.06)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:9951117.999 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.69%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3436
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 18, 2025 23:55

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1326

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.