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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 18, 2025 23:22
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3500-3570

Mark Price

3537.75

Actual Price

3550.99

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Price remains near the lower Bollinger band (percent_b at 0.158), close to the lower boundary, with no clear reversal signals yet.
  • MACD is at -33.192, with both DIF and DEA declining, indicating bearish momentum, but showing signs of short-term convergence.
  • RSI6 is at 27.36 and RSI14 at 35.22, showing short-term oversold conditions, with increased rebound willingness but no strong turning point.
  • KDJ is in low levels, with K, D, J values all below 40, indicating potential for rebound but insufficient volume.
  • MA5 is slightly above the current price; the moving average system has not formed a bullish alignment, with clear resistance between MA5, MA10, and MA20.
  • Large traders' long-short position ratio is 3.2587, suggesting capital support is relatively bullish; however, active buy-sell ratio below 1 indicates short-term bullish sentiment is weakening.
  • Volatility (ATR) is relatively low, and the directional choice remains unclear, supporting a strong expectation of sideways consolidation.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has experienced a substantial upward movement at higher timeframes, followed by a short-term correction. Currently, the Bollinger %B is only 0.158, indicating the price is near the lower band, accompanied by oversold indicators such as RSI, suggesting a short-term technical rebound is likely, though its sustainability is doubtful. Trading volume is in a high level of pullback stage, with a buy-sell ratio of 0.9029, indicating a weakening of short-term bullish momentum; meanwhile, large traders hold an unusually high long-short position ratio, reflecting some major funds are opportunistically accumulating on dips. However, the number of accounts involved is only 1.34, suggesting overall speculative enthusiasm has not yet surged explosively. MACD remains in negative territory, with DIF and DEA both trending downward, but with signs of convergence, implying that bearish momentum is diminishing, though no substantial bullish signal is present. The KDJ indicator is oscillating at low levels, with the J value slightly breaking below K and D, indicating a need for oscillation and recovery. The short-term moving averages have not formed a clear bullish alignment, and prices are consolidating below MA10 and MA20, indicating significant resistance. Considering the weighted average of moving averages, the 3500–3570 range may serve as the primary battleground with repeated oscillations between bulls and bears. Support levels reference the lower Bollinger band and S1; if the price falls below 3500 in the short term, it may test lower supports such as the 200-MA (around 3134). Otherwise, the market is expected to mainly oscillate and recover. Resistance overhead lies in the 3570–3600 range, aligning with the middle Bollinger band and MA20. Overall judgment suggests ETHUSDT is currently consolidating with high probability within the 3500–3570 range in the short term. Aggressive traders might consider buying dips and selling at rebounds, while more cautious traders may wait for breakout signals outside the range. It is recommended to closely monitor changes in capital sentiment and active buy-sell ratio. If volume significantly increases and MACD shows recovery, it could signal a transition to bullish strength; conversely, a breakdown below support levels should prompt timely stop-loss actions.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(27.3572) rsi12(36.5931) rsi14(35.2202)
  • MACD:dif(11.1215) dea(27.7175) macd(-33.192)
  • MA:ma5(3539.51) ma10(3539.51) ma20(3594.02)
  • Boll:up(3675.85) mid(3594.02) down(3512.19)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:10066128.440 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.69%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3436
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 18, 2025 23:22

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1324

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.