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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 18, 2025 21:00
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3450-3530

Mark Price

3520.94

Actual Price

3547.88

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • ETH's current price is below the middle Bollinger Band and close to the lower band, with percent_b negative (-0.100537), indicating downward pressure.
  • The short-term RSI (6/12/14) is significantly below 30, showing oversold conditions, but no clear reversal signals are present, indicating a weak bearish trend.
  • MACD DIF<DEA and MACD histogram is negative (-37.37), with ongoing weakening of short-term momentum.
  • All three lines of KDJ are low; J value contracts, showing exhausted momentum and no entry point for rebounds.
  • Despite high holdings among large traders and account balances, the active buy-sell ratio is low (0.8797), suggesting insufficient buying motivation among longs.
  • DMI+ (18.28) is lower than DMI- (26.29), and ADX remains modest (22.97), indicating a weak downward trend rather than a strong one.
  • Recent candlestick patterns show a retreat from high levels, signaling a top; although volume remains high, price is under pressure, with mainly short-term corrections in play.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has been continuously declining from its high levels, currently approaching the lower Bollinger Band. Short-term rebound momentum is insufficient, and candlestick patterns indicate the initial formation of a top. In terms of technical indicators, RSI6, RSI12, and RSI14 all enter oversold zones; MACD remains in a dead cross, indicating persistent bearish momentum, with the market dominated by downwards forces and weak short-term rebound capacity. KDJ values are all extremely low; J value shows a significant downward movement without a rebound, typically suggesting no immediate demand for a short-term rally. Market structure analysis shows that, despite the majority of accounts and large holders holding long positions, the active buy ratio is below 1, indicating decreasing actual buying power among funds, with more positions trapped at high levels or holding a wait-and-see stance. Volatility and ATR are at moderately low levels, indicating a short-term downtrend without extreme selling; DMI shows a dominant bear (DMI-) with a low ADX, making short-term declines easier and rebounds difficult, with no clear support levels. Support areas, based on S1 at 2930.99, are relatively distant; it is expected that prices will dip towards 3450-3530 for potential buying opportunities. Re-entry should wait for clear rebound signals before initiating long positions. Overall, current strategy should focus on defensive stance: maintaining minimal or no positions and following the bearish trend. Avoid over-anticipating bottoms; if the price falls below the lower zone, be alert to the risk of inertia-driven declines.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(25.9642) rsi12(32.5742) rsi14(27.6366)
  • MACD:dif(22.0526) dea(40.7424) macd(-37.3797)
  • MA:ma5(3563.48) ma10(3563.48) ma20(3603.48)
  • Boll:up(3672.32) mid(3603.48) down(3534.65)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:10563218.424 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.67%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3261
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 18, 2025 21:00

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1310

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.