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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 18, 2025 20:54
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 78%

Target Price

3480-3530

Mark Price

3525.91

Actual Price

3555.5

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band (percent_b) at -0.081112, indicating the price is near the lower band, with downward pressure.
  • MACD at -36.8743, DIF crossing below DEA, reflecting weakened short-term momentum and a downward turning of the main trend.
  • RSI6 at only 26.7, RSI14 at 28.0; both indicate oversold conditions in short-term and medium-term, suggesting some rebound potential but no trend reversal.
  • KDJ lines at low levels, J-value at 14.2, without clear turning upward, indicating insufficient momentum to reverse.
  • Active buy/sell ratio at 0.8797, showing slight bearish bias, with market selling pressure prevailing.
  • While the account ratio and large traders’ holdings are somewhat bullish, the lack of volume increase suggests no price reversal, indicating possible capital lock-in.
  • ATR at 53.16 and overall low volatility signal weak short-term support.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Combining candlestick chart analysis, ETHUSDT has recently experienced a significant surge, followed by an evident intraday pullback. The current price is close to the lower Bollinger Band, indicating short-term resistance. MACD has turned negative, and the DIF has crossed below the DEA in a death cross, suggesting the market has just entered a correction phase, with downward momentum releasing, but no signs of a reversal have been observed. Both RSI and KDJ indicate oversold conditions; although technical rebound expectations exist, current volume and active buyers are not strong, with the active buy/sell ratio below 1, indicating selling pressure has not eased. The long-short account ratio and large traders' holdings are leaning towards bullish, but are unable to offset the overall market weakness. Main capital is locked in, with a wait-and-see attitude, implying short-term further dips are possible. Recent support levels are primarily around MA5 (3564) and MA50 (3489). If these are broken, the price could extend downward into the 3480-3530 zone, so caution is needed to prevent further decline after breaking a key support. Volatility indicators and ATR are declining, indicating significant reduction in main trading positions. Short-term sentiment is increasingly cautious, with a market lacking proactive rebound enthusiasm. Trading strategy: Bulls should avoid blindly entering positions; wait for a pullback to around 3480 and monitor for rebound signals. Consider scaling into longs if stabilization occurs; strictly cut losses if support is breached. Bears may attempt light shorts within the declining range, but caution against oversold rebound squeezes. High risk involved, position sizing should be managed carefully.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(26.7452) rsi12(33.1083) rsi14(28.0202)
  • MACD:dif(22.3685) dea(40.8056) macd(-36.8743)
  • MA:ma5(3564.28) ma10(3564.28) ma20(3603.68)
  • Boll:up(3671.58) mid(3603.68) down(3535.78)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:10555551.703 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.66%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3261
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 18, 2025 20:54

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1309

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.