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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 18, 2025 20:50
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3460-3520

Mark Price

3500.16

Actual Price

3565.43

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current ETHUSDT price has broken below the middle Bollinger Band, approaching the lower band. The Bollinger %b is at -0.189528, indicating the price is at a relative low but still has room to decline.
  • The MACD is in a clearly bearish stage (dif=20.4053, dea=40.413, macd=-40.0154), with short-term momentum relatively weak.
  • RSI6 is at 22.533, and RSI14 at 25.7953; both are in oversold territory with no clear signs of a rebound, indicating short-term weakness.
  • The KDJ indicator lines are very low with extreme J values (K: 23.6, D: 33.1, J: 4.5); oversold conditions have not resulted in a reversal, and weakness persists.
  • Although large traders’ long and short positions favor the long side (large traders’ long-short ratio of 3.0822), active buying volume ratio is at 0.8797, weaker than selling, showing short-term buying power is limited.
  • The DMI indicates a dominant downtrend with -DI at 26.29 surpassing +DI at 18.28; the ADX at 22.98 suggests the bearish trend is present but not extreme.
  • The moving average system shows short-term MAs (MA5, MA10) below MA20, with the current price breaking short-term support levels.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Despite a recent strong rally in ETHUSDT, there has been a rapid correction at higher levels, with the current price falling back into the middle-lower region of the Bollinger Bands. The short-term moving averages (MA5/MA10) have crossed below MA20, indicating short-term resistance. The MACD indicator has entered a clear bearish zone, with increasing negative BAR values, reflecting that bearish momentum dominates the short-term market, and no reversal signs are evident. Multiple RSI and KDJ indicators show extreme overselling, suggesting an oversold rebound demand. However, when combined with MACD and market sentiment, it is more likely that the price will continue to decline inertially to the support zone before any correction occurs. Large traders' long and short positions are heavily skewed toward long, but active trading is predominantly on the sell side. This indicates that while there are long positions, there is no intention of significant additional long-building, possibly for defensive reasons. In the short term, there is no clear major buying interest from funds. Intra-day volatility has increased, but trading volume has not yet triggered a clear reversal. With the DMI indicating a dominant bearish trend, upward momentum is temporarily limited. Support levels to watch are near 3520 (lower Bollinger Band) and around 3460. A break below these levels could lead to further testing of the lower range. Overall, it is recommended to avoid chasing highs in the short term and to wait for a decline to the support region before engaging, in order to prevent risks associated with inertial correction. On the 1-hour timeframe, the expected range is weak oscillation between 3460 and 3520.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(22.533) rsi12(30.0462) rsi14(25.7953)
  • MACD:dif(20.4053) dea(40.413) macd(-40.0154)
  • MA:ma5(3559.35) ma10(3559.35) ma20(3602.45)
  • Boll:up(3676.63) mid(3602.45) down(3528.28)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:10496047.089 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.72%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3261
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 18, 2025 20:50

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1307

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.