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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 18, 2025 20:35
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

3430-3480

Mark Price

3489.62

Actual Price

3557.23

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price is below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with Bollinger %B at -0.22, close to the lower band, indicating significant market pressure.
  • MACD data (DIF: 19.70, DEA: 40.27, MACD: -41.14) shows a clear death cross, signaling a strong short-term bearish state.
  • RSI across 6, 12, and 14 periods are in severely oversold zones (21.32, 29.08, 25.08), indicating persistent weakness in the short term.
  • Within KDJ, the J value is only 1.05 and the K and D are also low, reflecting extremely weak momentum and an ongoing downtrend.
  • Despite a higher ratio of long to short accounts and large holders, the active buy/sell ratio remains below 1, indicating short-term bullish momentum is lacking.
  • In the DMI indicator, the DMI minus (+DMI) is much higher than DMI plus (+DMI). Although the ADX is not extreme, it shows an ongoing directional downward movement.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT, after a strong upward move, is currently entering a correction within the 1H timeframe, with noticeable signs of pullback on the candlestick chart. Despite high trading volume, there is no clear indication of reversal momentum. Technical indicators are broadly bearish, with Bollinger Bands near the lower band, and all moving averages turning downward. The price has already broken below short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20), indicating short-term failure. The MACD is in a death cross with expanding histogram, suggesting weak short-term rebound momentum. Although large holders' positions and the number of accounts are relatively high, the active buy/sell ratio is only 0.88. Market-driven funds appear to be focused on short-term distribution. Moreover, large holders' long and short positions are most likely driven by short-term speculation and do not constitute effective medium-term support. The RSI remains in oversold territory consecutively, indicating the market is in a bearish mood. While technical rebound potential is increasing, the overall trend remains downward (caution advised regarding rebound strength). The KDJ indicator shows a bearish alignment with the J line at a very low level, signaling a downtrend. Support levels to watch in the short term include S1 (2930.99), which still provides theoretical space; however, considering ATR volatility and recent market behavior, a potential stabilization or pause could occur in the 3430-3480 range. Short-term traders are advised to be cautious when chasing short positions. Summary: ETHUSDT is highly likely to continue a weak sideways to downward correction within the 1-hour timeframe. It is recommended to reduce positions at higher levels or to consider shorting on rebounds. When price approaches the aforementioned support zone, partial profit-taking or watching for short-term rebound opportunities are advisable.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(21.3265) rsi12(29.0801) rsi14(25.08)
  • MACD:dif(19.7001) dea(40.2719) macd(-41.1437)
  • MA:ma5(3557.59) ma10(3557.59) ma20(3602.01)
  • Boll:up(3678.68) mid(3602.01) down(3525.34)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:10439914.649 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.75%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3261
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 18, 2025 20:35

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1303

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.