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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 18, 2025 20:32
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

3440-3500

Mark Price

3481.41

Actual Price

3556.3

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • RSI6 is 20.15, RSI12 is 28.10, RSI14 is 24.34, indicating severe overselling; a short-term decline with a potential rebound is possible, but overall momentum is weak.
  • MACD is -42.37, with DIF and DEA both decreasing, showing that bearish momentum is clearly releasing.
  • KDJ J-value is -3.54, K is 20.14, D is 31.98, positioned at low levels with dull readings, showing no obvious signs of a strong rebound.
  • Bollinger %b is -0.25, the price has left the lower band, indicating further downside risk.
  • Active buy and sell ratio is 0.8797, slightly favoring the bears. Institutional large trader positions show a preference for both longs and shorts, but the current trend is under bear suppression.
  • DMI shows DMI-minus exceeds DMI-plus, with ADX at 22.93, indicating a valid downward trend with significant downward pressure.
  • Current price is slightly above the MA50 and significantly above the MA200, but short-term moving averages are turning downward, reflecting a weak market structure.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has recently experienced a significant rally, followed by a clear correction influenced by selling pressure at high levels. The MACD bearish momentum is rapidly releasing, indicating that the short-term downtrend has not yet concluded, and the price continues to weaken. The RSI and KDJ indicators are severely oversold with low positions, suggesting a potential for a rebound; however, technical signals and active buying and selling ratios both indicate dominance by the bears, with insufficient rebound momentum to reverse the short-term downtrend. From a capital perspective, although large traders' long positions are predominant, active buying orders are insufficient, and large traders' actual holdings show signs of being passively trapped. Attention should be paid to large traders reducing their positions in the near future. Support near the lower Bollinger Band is relatively weak. If the price breaks below the 3500 level, focus on the support around 3440. The strong support level S1 is far away, and there is short-term pressure. Overall assessment indicates a short-term bearish outlook for ETH. After testing the 3440-3500 range, only then might partial support be established. Conservative traders should wait for stable signals before considering long positions. Current market volatility and ATR are both high. During a decline, strict stop-loss measures are necessary to avoid inertia-driven sell-offs. If trading volume drops sharply during intraday trading, oversold rebounds can be watched for, otherwise focus on defensive strategies.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(20.1546) rsi12(28.099) rsi14(24.3468)
  • MACD:dif(18.9343) dea(40.1188) macd(-42.369)
  • MA:ma5(3555.67) ma10(3555.67) ma20(3601.53)
  • Boll:up(3681.03) mid(3601.53) down(3522.02)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:10407493.372 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.79%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3261
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 18, 2025 20:32

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1300

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.