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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 18, 2025 20:31
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3450-3500

Mark Price

3493.46

Actual Price

3555.43

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price of 3493.46 is close to the lower Bollinger Band at 3525.52, and the percent_b at -0.219927 indicates deviation below the band, showing potential for a brief rebound but with strong downward momentum.
  • RSI across multiple periods (RSI6 21.40 / RSI12 29.14 / RSI14 25.12) are in deeply oversold levels; a weak short-term rebound is expected, but the overall weak bearish trend remains unchanged.
  • The MACD DIF is 19.744, DEA is 40.2807, and the MACD histogram is -41.0735, indicating a clear death cross and continued weakening of momentum.
  • All three KDJ components (K 20.75, D 32.19, J negative) are in oversold zones; fund flows are cautious, and bullish sentiment is insufficient.
  • The positive DMI is 18.5, which is less than the negative DMI at 25.39; the ADX is 22.81, indicating that the downward trend is effective with moderate strength.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is below 1 (0.8797), reflecting low buying enthusiasm and dominant bears.
  • The big trader long-short position ratio is high at 3.08, but the number of accounts is only 1.63, indicating some institutional longs, while retail traders remain bearish, leading to potential downside risk from conflicting positions.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The recent ETHUSDT candlestick chart shows prolonged high-level consolidation after a steady upward move, with the latest 1-hour candlestick indicating a clear pullback and breaking below the MA5, MA10, and MA20, forming resistance and indicating near-term downward pressure. Currently, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with the price approaching the lower band and below the midline, suggesting increased downward pressure and a potential for further decline in the short term. Multiple RSI and KDJ indicators are in extreme oversold territory; although a short-term technical rebound is possible, there are no clear signals of volume or capital inflow resuming strongly, indicating a weak market structure and limited rebound potential. Overall trading volume has not significantly increased; without rapid capital influx to sustain momentum, longs will struggle to mount effective rebounds, and both amplitude and volatility metrics suggest that the correction has not concluded. The MACD has formed a bearish death cross, limiting the rebound space; the price is more likely to continue weak oscillations downward, with a higher probability of seeking support at the lower Bollinger Band or S1, rather than breaking upward. DMI, active buy-sell ratio, and account structure indicators all show that bears are dominant, and despite some large traders increasing long positions, the overall market remains weak, with ongoing risks of sharp declines. It is expected that in the next hour, there will be a very short-term technical pullback, primarily within the 3450-3500 range. Failure to stabilize may increase concerns of falling below S1 (2930.99). Cautious approach is advised for long positions; for short positions, be vigilant against further declines. Watch closely for any signs of marginal improvement in capital flow and volume.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(21.3978) rsi12(29.1384) rsi14(25.1233)
  • MACD:dif(19.744) dea(40.2807) macd(-41.0735)
  • MA:ma5(3557.7) ma10(3557.7) ma20(3602.04)
  • Boll:up(3678.55) mid(3602.04) down(3525.52)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:10387696.776 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.75%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3261
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 18, 2025 20:31

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1299

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.