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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 18, 2025 20:25
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3450-3500

Mark Price

3502.18

Actual Price

3551.6

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price has broken below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with percent_b at -0.173098, nearing the lower band, indicating significant short-term downward pressure.
  • MACD is in a death cross, with a value of -39.4818, and both DIF and DEA are declining, showing weakening short-term momentum.
  • RSI6 is at 23.1523 and RSI14 at 26.148, both in the oversold zone, indicating limited rebound momentum, but the short-term downward inertia may persist.
  • KDJ indicator shows K value at 20.37 and J value negative, indicating extreme overselling; a weak rebound may occur, but the overall trend remains bearish.
  • Active buy/sell ratio is below 1, with most orders being active sell orders, reflecting a bearish market sentiment.
  • Despite a high large trader long-short position ratio (3.08), market activity favors selling, suggesting possible profit-taking by large holders or potential for market manipulation.
  • DMI shows -DMI at 23.84 exceeding +DMI at 18.88, and ADX below 25, indicating that while downward momentum exists, its strength is limited.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Although ETHUSDT has recently experienced a strong rally, short-term indicators such as MACD, RSI, and KDJ are all showing extreme oversold conditions. The current price has fallen back to the middle-lower band of the Bollinger Bands and is below all short-term moving averages (MA5-20), indicating persistent short-term correction pressure. Trading volume data has not increased significantly. Despite differences in the long and short ratios, active trading trends towards selling. Along with the fund rate not showing a clear premium and increased volatility, this suggests that the downward selling momentum is being released, but genuine support has not yet formed. MACD continues to generate a death cross, with DIF and DEA both declining. Coupled with extremely low RSI and oversold KDJ, if upward momentum remains weak in the short term, the price may continue to seek support downward. The first strong support zone is between 3450 and 3500. If the price can stabilize within this range, an oversold rebound may occur. Although the large traders' long positions ratio (3.08) is significantly higher than shorts, when combined with the account ratio data during the same period, and the active buying/selling ratio being less than 1, caution is advised. The main players may be taking profits or unwinding positions. Short-term rebounds are primarily tests, and until key moving averages are broken, cautious observation is recommended. Overall assessment indicates a short-term bearish bias. It is suggested to monitor the support zone between 3450 and 3500. If the price breaks below this support, timely stop-losses are advised. If strong rebound signals are seen within the support zone, small positions may attempt short-term shorts to catch rebounds, but risk management must be strictly upheld.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(23.1523) rsi12(30.5258) rsi14(26.148)
  • MACD:dif(20.7387) dea(40.4797) macd(-39.4818)
  • MA:ma5(3560.19) ma10(3560.19) ma20(3602.66)
  • Boll:up(3675.7) mid(3602.66) down(3529.62)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:10308002.630 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.71%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3261
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 18, 2025 20:25

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1298

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.