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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 18, 2025 19:27
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3550-3620

Mark Price

3578.97

Actual Price

3494.3

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Band percent_b is 0.287916, with the price close to the lower band but not breaking below, indicating some support but insufficient upward drive.
  • MACD is in negative territory with DIF below DEA, suggesting that short-term bearish momentum slightly dominates, and no strong upward trend signal has formed.
  • RSI6 is only 29.25, and RSI14 is also relatively low, indicating short-term oversold conditions but no signs of a robust rebound.
  • KDJ lines are below 50, with J values significantly low; short-term shadow wick structures are common, revealing clear oscillation signals.
  • Moving averages are converging, with MA5 below MA10/20, showing short-term weakening but stronger support levels underneath.
  • Volatility and amplitude are moderate; ADX is in the early stages of a trend, with market forces of bulls and bears relatively balanced.
  • Funding rates are very low, with no obvious extreme sentiment; the number of long and short accounts are both relatively high but with a neutral to slightly bullish driving force, indicating the critical breakout point has not yet been reached.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

From the candlestick chart perspective, ETHUSDT has entered a high-level consolidation phase, with recent upward movement followed by sideways slight oscillation. Although trading volume is significant, there is no extreme volume surge, indicating that market sentiment remains controlled. In the short term, the gaps between various moving averages are narrowing, and the price is consolidating around MA5/MA10, with Bollinger Band width not large, suggesting the price is most likely to range between 3550 and 3620, with no breakout conditions at present. The MACD shows a slight advantage for the bears, while both RSI and KDJ are at low levels and show no signs of reversing upward; the rebound energy relies on the lower Bollinger Band. Without sudden volume inflows, the expectation is for predominantly oscillatory movement. Although the proportion of long to short positions and the number of accounts held by large traders are relatively high, and the overall market capitalization is at a historical high, the current funding rates are extremely low, and the buy/sell ratio is somewhat bearish, indicating that bullish participation is not overly aggressive. The market remains susceptible to upward selling pressure and profit-taking actions. Combining historical trends with the aforementioned technical data, it is expected that the upcoming 1-hour movement will mainly be range-bound, with an unclear direction. If trading volume further diminishes, attention should be paid to the lower Bollinger Band and support line S1 (2930.99). However, the short-term downside risk remains limited. Strategy recommendation: Patience is advised; monitor the 3550-3620 range. Currently, it is not suitable to chase rallies or cut losses aggressively. If a breakout occurs above this range, consider trend-based long positions; a break above 3620 may indicate a short-term long opportunity, while a breakdown below 3550 suggests retracting and evaluating short positions.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(29.2546) rsi12(43.216) rsi14(32.9731)
  • MACD:dif(31.6128) dea(45.868) macd(-28.5103)
  • MA:ma5(3577.94) ma10(3577.94) ma20(3605.73)
  • Boll:up(3667.31) mid(3605.73) down(3544.15)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:10337930.539 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.65%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3175
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 18, 2025 19:27

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1292

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.