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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 18, 2025 19:09
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3500-3580

Mark Price

3546.1

Actual Price

3520.83

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Band percent_b is 0.07, close to the lower band, indicating short-term pressure has eased but no significant trend breakout has occurred.
  • RSI6 (21.61) and RSI14 (28.34) indicate oversold conditions, suggesting weakening short-term bearish momentum.
  • MACD is negative at -32.56, with dif below dea, showing weak momentum but signs of convergence.
  • KDJ is operating in the low range, with J value very low at 10.3, indicating high probability of short-term oscillation at low levels.
  • MA5 and MA10 are below MA20, with the correction phase essentially complete, and the price is near the support provided by MA20.
  • Active buy/sell ratio is 0.7578, and the ratio of long to short accounts is 1.3175, showing a slight bullish bias but diminishing advantage for longs.
  • The ratio of large traders' long/short positions at 3.08 is much higher than retail traders' ratio 1.61, indicating intense large trader contestation and potential short-term market oscillation.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Currently, ETHUSDT has experienced a recent significant upward trend (the candlestick chart shows a bullish arrangement), but after retreating from the high level, it found support near the middle to lower band of the Bollinger Bands, and there is no strong reversal signal on the technicals at this time. Multiple RSI indicators are in oversold conditions, and KDJ is at a low level. The short-term downward space is limited, but MACD has yet to generate a bullish crossover, indicating insufficient upward momentum. The moving average alignment shows MA5 < MA10 < MA20, indicating a phase of consolidation and minor correction after a short-term rebound, and has not yet entered a new upward trend. From the perspective of large traders and account ratios, market sentiment shows significant disagreement. Large traders hold predominantly long positions at very high levels, but at the retail account level, long positions are only moderately advantageous. Overall retail traders are not aggressively chasing the rally, and capital confrontations are intense, making rapid short-term surges or dips less probable. Trading volume remains high but has not expanded noticeably, suggesting active capital turnover but no clear breakout trend. Considering current amplitude and volatility, it is expected that in the next hour, the price will fluctuate within a broad range between the lower and middle Bollinger Band, roughly between 3500 and 3580. The trend will be clarified after a breakout with increased volume, a bullish MACD shift, or a break of key moving averages. Trading suggestion: Within this range, adopt a short-term strategy of buying low and selling high, be cautious about chasing the rally, avoid quickly taking sides in a single directional move, and wait for signals such as volume breakthroughs or MACD turning red before acting accordingly.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(21.6145) rsi12(36.4835) rsi14(28.343)
  • MACD:dif(29.0801) dea(45.3614) macd(-32.5627)
  • MA:ma5(3571.59) ma10(3571.59) ma20(3604.14)
  • Boll:up(3669.84) mid(3604.14) down(3538.45)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:10301998.874 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.65%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3175
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 18, 2025 19:09

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1286

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.