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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 18, 2025 19:03
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3520-3620

Mark Price

3561.11

Actual Price

3540.67

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is 0.152093, with the price near the lower band, indicating some support. However, the price has not yet broken through the middle band, suggesting short-term downward momentum is exhausted and sideways movement is beginning.
  • MACD (dif 30.082, dea 45.5618, macd -30.9596) shows the fast and slow lines crossing downward, indicating a short-term bearish trend but with a slowing decline and signs of bottom oscillation.
  • RSI6 at 23.42 and RSI14 at 29.66 are both in oversold zones, implying limited further downside and a high likelihood of low-level consolidation.
  • KDJ indicators (K: 31.45, D: 38.62, J: 17.14) show J-values at extremely low levels, reaching oversold territory. Rebound or sideways movement is expected.
  • Moving averages MA5, MA10, and MA20 are all above the current price, indicating a short-term bearish bias but not far from the current level, suggesting a need for low-position consolidation.
  • Active buying and selling ratios slightly favor bulls (1.0369), with large trader long-short holdings leaning bullish (3.0837). However, the price has not responded strongly to these indicators, implying significant selling pressure at higher levels.
  • 24-hour trading volume has increased, but the amplitude is only 3.715, indicating high capital turnover mainly characterized by oscillation at higher levels.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Short-term ETHUSDT experienced an upward move followed by high-level consolidation. Currently, the MACD, RSI, KDJ, and other indicators all show oversold conditions or sufficient downward momentum release. In the short term, it is expected to oscillate and recover within the 3520-3620 range. From a capital perspective, bullish positions have been continuously increasing. The large trader long-short holdings ratio has reached 3.08, indicating that market capital sentiment is leaning bullish. However, the current price has not continued to push higher, showing a pause around 3550 and some funds taking profits, while bears are resisting. The price is near the lower Bollinger Band (3541.03), with severe overselling (multiple RSI values below 30). Short-term downside potential is limited. It is expected to fluctuate between the middle and lower Bollinger Bands, restoring the imbalance in indicators. In terms of volume, 24-hour trading volume remains high, but the amplitude is moderate, suggesting that bullish and bearish funds have not formed an effective breakout yet and are likely to oscillate within the current range. It is recommended for traders to watch for signs of support and consider going long around 3520-3545, or to place short positions between 3630-3660, awaiting a short-term pullback. The main strategy should focus on range arbitrage, avoiding chasing rallies or panicking during declines. Stop-loss is advised below the lower boundary of 3510. First target profit at above 3620. If the price breaks out of the range, follow the trend accordingly. Risk warning: If a sudden overall market correction or negative news occurs, it is crucial to monitor large trader holdings and strictly enforce stop-loss orders. Overall, technical indicators show a bottoming and oscillating recovery, with expectancies of mainly range-bound fluctuations in the next hour. Sharp declines are unlikely in the short term. It is recommended to adopt a buy-low-sell-high strategy.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(23.4202) rsi12(38.7017) rsi14(29.6638)
  • MACD:dif(30.082) dea(45.5618) macd(-30.9596)
  • MA:ma5(3574.1) ma10(3574.1) ma20(3604.77)
  • Boll:up(3668.51) mid(3604.77) down(3541.03)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:10225117.768 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.64%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3175
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 18, 2025 19:03

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1284

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.