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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 18, 2025 17:59
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3550-3650

Mark Price

3599.5

Actual Price

3569.95

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current Bollinger Bands' percent_b is approximately 0.519, with the price operating above the middle band near the mid-range, not breaking the upper band, indicating continued oscillation characteristics.
  • RSI on cycles of 6, 14, and 24 periods are at 45.34, 50.37, and 66.01 respectively, with multi-cycle RSI not reaching extreme levels, showing a neutral to slightly bullish but weak upward momentum.
  • The MACD (DIF=39.83, DEA=52.99) yielding a MACD histogram of -26.32 indicates weakening bullish momentum and short-term adjustment pressure.
  • KDJ indicator values are K=40.46, D=44.86, J=31.68; all in the mid-low range, pointing to weak oscillation but no clear downward momentum.
  • Active buy/sell ratio is approximately 0.9361, with some active selling, indicating short-term bullish and bearish contestation.
  • Large account long versus short positions ratio is about 3.0814, demonstrating strong bullish intent; however, the ratio of regular accounts is 1.3272, implying the market has not achieved full resonance.
  • ATR and volatility are at normal levels, with an amplitude of approximately 5.32%, with no extreme volume spikes. Bullish volume has increased but has yet to break through the bandwidth.
  • Support levels are distant, with S1 at approximately 2930.99; in the short term, there lacks strong support or resistance anchors below.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has been continuously rising on the 1-hour timeframe and has stabilized above the MA5/MA20 and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, recently entering a period of sideways consolidation at relatively high levels. Some retracements occurred during the session, but downside space remains limited, with the main trend being high-level oscillation. The Bollinger Bands have contracted, with the percent_b maintaining around the median; the price has not strongly attacked the upper band nor broken below the lower band, indicating a temporary lack of breakout potential. Short-term bullish traders have a strong profit-taking desire, but active closing momentum is diminishing. MACD shows a dead cross oscillating, with shrinking green bars, indicating a lack of sustained upward momentum in the short term. RSI across multiple cycles has not shown extreme trend levels; the short-term movement is primarily repairing and consolidating. Major institutional long positions are dominant, but the count ratios between bullish and bearish accounts are markedly different. Overall capital flows are relatively bullish but cautious. The active buy/sell ratio is not high, suggesting resistance above current prices and limited funds chasing higher prices. Trading volume remains stable overall, with no extreme spikes, indicating market heat is cooling. Support and resistance levels are relatively distant, implying that the short-term market is susceptible to control by large players, which could lead to a rectangular consolidation pattern. Operational advice: Currently, ETHUSDT is at a staged high. In the short term, it is advisable to treat the movement as oscillatory, with the range around 3550-3650. If the price can break above the upper boundary of this range effectively, a new round of upward attack may begin. However, there are no clear signs of accumulation at the moment. If it retraces to 3550 and receives strong support, consider gradually adding positions in phases. Maintain cautious position sizing; avoid chasing high. Risk warning: If the price falls back below 3550, beware of filling the gap and further adjustments. If the MACD green bars deepen and active sell volume increases, short-term downward pressure will intensify.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(45.3429) rsi12(34.5286) rsi14(50.3769)
  • MACD:dif(39.8326) dea(52.993) macd(-26.3208)
  • MA:ma5(3592.73) ma10(3592.73) ma20(3595.23)
  • Boll:up(3696.43) mid(3595.23) down(3494.03)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:10208399.370 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.76%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3272
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 18, 2025 17:59

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1259

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.