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Binance ETHUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Jul 18, 2025 17:42
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3560-3650

Mark Price

3609.72

Actual Price

3589.6

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • ETH's current price is between the upper and middle Bollinger Bands, with percent_b at 0.561, indicating a normal range without extreme sentiment.
  • The MACD is at -25.18, with the dif and dea both at relatively high levels but forming a dead cross, suggesting short-term adjustment pressure.
  • RSI6 is 48.67, and RSI14 is 51.80, both near neutral levels, indicating no overbought or oversold conditions.
  • The KDJ indicators (k, d, j) are all close to 50, leaning slightly weaker but not extremely low, showing the market is primarily in a short-term calm and cautious state.
  • The active buy-to-sell ratio is 0.9361, skewed toward the sellers, indicating intense competition between bulls and bears in the short term.
  • The long-to-short large trader holding ratio is notably skewed toward longs, but active buy and account counts are not excessively strong, suggesting that while large funds remain optimistic, overall market sentiment is neutral to somewhat bullish.
  • Volatility and ATR are moderate, with a fluctuation amplitude of 6.3%, indicating the market has some elasticity and is unlikely to form a strong bullish surge or rapid decline.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The technical pattern of ETHUSDT currently shows signs of a staged sideways consolidation at higher levels. From the candlestick and volume data, the short-term bullish trend has slowed, entering a tug-of-war phase between bulls and bears. The Bollinger Bands channel remains upward but is beginning to converge, indicating market cooling after a significant rally. The percent_b value is 0.56, suggesting that the price is in a neutral range without strong breakout momentum. The MACD has generated a high-level dead cross, and the histogram is negative, indicating that after short-term bullish momentum has been released, capital is cautious, warning of a potential brief correction or high-level consolidation. The RSI indicator ranges between 50 and 66, showing no clear signals of overbought or oversold conditions; the short-term trading sentiment remains mainly cautious. The KDJ lines are converging, with the J value lagging behind K and D, implying a certain risk of consolidation, with some capital choosing to take profits and stay on the sidelines. Although large traders' positions indicate a strongly skewed long bias, reflecting optimism among big capital, retail investors and active market participants have not followed suit, signifying increasing divergence (risk of large holders reducing positions or aggressive liquidation). In summary, ETH is more likely to trade within the high-level consolidation range of 3560–3650 in the next hour. If trading volume continues to decline, there is a risk of a staged pullback after an advance; on the other hand, a volume-driven bullish breakout above 3650 would require a reassessment of the trend. Operationally, it is recommended to hold light positions waiting for trend confirmation, with aggressive traders engaging in short-term buy low and sell high within the range, with strict stop-loss measures.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(48.6664) rsi12(36.9915) rsi14(51.8048)
  • MACD:dif(40.5473) dea(53.1359) macd(-25.1772)
  • MA:ma5(3594.52) ma10(3594.52) ma20(3595.68)
  • Boll:up(3697.02) mid(3595.68) down(3494.34)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:10210162.066 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.78%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3272
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 18, 2025 17:42

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd1249

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.