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Binance ETHUSDT 1d Trend Prediction

Nov 04, 2025 08:07
1d
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 83%

Target Price

3350-3480

Mark Price

3481.07

Actual Price

3388.75

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price of 3481 is below the middle Bollinger Band at 3882.25 and close to the lower band at 3591.03; with percent_b negative, indicating considerable downward pressure.
  • All MACD lines are negative, with dif and dea both significantly below zero, and the MACD histogram energy further weakening, signaling dominant bearish momentum.
  • RSI across all periods is in low territory (rsi6 at 16.36, rsi14 at 34.99), indicating clear oversold conditions but ongoing downward momentum.
  • The KDJ indicator is extremely weak, with K at 18.68, D at 30.94, and J even negative, indicating a sluggish trend that has not yet bottomed out.
  • Trading volume and turnover have expanded, and amplitude is -6.257, showing that funds are actively flowing out amid the downtrend, exerting pressure on the main positions.
  • Large traders' long-short position ratio (2.57) and account number ratio (4.14) remain biased towards long positions, but active buy-sell ratio is only 0.88, suggesting market funds are conservatively leaning towards short positions.
  • DMI indicators show the bearish side (dmi_minus=34.22) far exceeds the bullish side (dmi_plus=14.86). The ADX at 21.51 indicates a weak trend but clearly downward direction.
  • All moving average systems are in a bearish configuration, with the price broken below all short- and medium-term averages, approximately 110 points above the MA200 support level.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT's past 400 daily candlesticks show a significant downtrend from higher levels, with the current price only a few points above the lower Bollinger Band, indicating limited consolidation space below. Persisting bearish candles remain, and the rebound momentum is weak. MACD continues to weaken, with no signs of a bullish golden cross at low levels, suggesting that the bearish forces remain dominant intra-day. If no sudden positive catalysts emerge in the short term, the probability of inertial decline is very high. RSI across all periods is in the severely oversold zone, theoretically indicating potential for technical rebound, but macrofundamental signals show no signs of reversal. The oversold condition of KDJ further supports this, with the J line at extremely low levels. Major traders and institutions hold a predominantly bullish stance, but trading activity remains low, indicating that main players might be reducing positions or exiting. Active capital has not entered the market; active buy orders and account numbers are decreasing. The support level below is 3353.51; a breakdown could accelerate decline towards the MA200 and S1 zone. Volatility and amplitude indicators show the market is in an accelerating downtrend. The short-term ATR remains high, making it very likely for the bears to dominate the market. The first resistance at 3878.53 remains difficult to break; recent rebounds are limited. As long as the price cannot consistently stay above the MA20 and the middle band of Bollinger Bands, the trend will predominantly remain bearish moving forward. In conclusion, ETHUSDT is highly likely to continue its weak decline over the next day. The target range is estimated at 3350-3480. If the support at S1 is broken, it may trigger a larger-scale bearish sell-off. The trading strategy should focus on short positions, avoiding being lured into rebounds. Stop-loss should be set above MA20 and the middle Bollinger Band (around 3880).

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(16.3642) rsi12(34.1528) rsi14(34.986)
  • MACD:dif(-119.9874) dea(-90.3784) macd(-59.2179)
  • MA:ma5(3741.32) ma10(3741.32) ma20(3882.25)
  • Boll:up(4173.47) mid(3882.25) down(3591.03)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6785360.767 (24h)
  • Volatility:3.03%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.5086
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 04, 2025 08:07

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1d-forecast-2025-upd3905

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.