LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 1d Trend Prediction

Aug 14, 2025 07:08
1d
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bullish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4900-5100

Mark Price

4755.65

Actual Price

4648.19

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Price has clearly broken through the upper Bollinger Band, with percent_b exceeding 1, indicating strong upward momentum. The wave remains unimpaired.
  • Short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20) are in a bullish arrangement and significantly above medium- and long-term averages (MA50, MA200), demonstrating a sustained upward trend.
  • All RSI indicators (notably RSI6 and RSI12) are extremely overbought. While short-term pullbacks are possible, the initial upward wave remains strong. After brief consolidation at high levels, further upward movement is expected.
  • MACD has experienced a golden cross, with DIF and MACD increasing substantially, indicating ample momentum and that buyers are dominating.
  • KDJ three lines are significantly overbought, with the J value notably above K and D, suggesting strong bullish consolidation and upward pursuit.
  • Large institutional long-to-short positions ratio is as high as 3.3821, and the account ratio exceeds 1, indicating very strong bullish institutional capital deployment.
  • Active buy-sell ratio and the number of long versus short accounts are slightly below 1, indicating short-term retail disagreement; however, this is unlikely to override institutional-led trend dominance.
  • ADX exceeds 47, and volatility measures (ATR) show a strong and stable trend. DMI+ significantly exceeds DMI-, confirming a clear trending environment.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently in a clear primary upward wave, with price reaching new highs and breaking through the upper Bollinger Band, indicating a technical bullish alignment with no divergence. Trading volume remains high and volatility has increased, demonstrating substantial capital inflow, with speculation and trend trading resonating. Although short-term RSI and KDJ are in extreme overbought regions, MACD and moving average arrangements indicate that the trend momentum remains strong, with no technical failure divergence signals at this time. After a quick consolidation at high levels or minor correction, the primary upward trend is highly likely to continue. The current position structure is extremely bullish, with major institutional accumulation evident. Retail traders show slight hesitation but have limited impact on the overall trend. 综合分析,ETH if experiencing a short-term pullback, there will likely be quick buy support around 4800, and as long as this level holds, the push towards 5000-5100 will continue. In a strong market, it is advisable to follow the trend with light positions, scale out profitably in segments, and set short-term stop-losses below the MA5 line (approximately 4450-4510). Avoid heavy chasing at high levels. If an extreme correction occurs, attention should be paid to the support strength between the upper Bollinger Band (4730) and support level S1 (2886.47), though such an event has a lower probability. It is recommended to cautiously initiate longs in the 4850-4900 range, targeting 5000-5100, with strict position control. In extreme market conditions, place stop-losses below the MA10 line to stay flexible. The main trading logic is trend continuation; short-term pullbacks are opportunities to buy; the risks include overbought conditions and chasing the high, so avoid aggressive actions.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(95.4052) rsi12(91.1303) rsi14(77.0007)
  • MACD:dif(334.0036) dea(254.1098) macd(159.7876)
  • MA:ma5(4512.74) ma10(4512.74) ma20(3941.46)
  • Boll:up(4730.74) mid(3941.46) down(3152.18)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7790076.763 (24h)
  • Volatility:3.94%
  • Long/Short Ratio:0.9489
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 14, 2025 07:08

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-1d-forecast-2025-upd2611

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.