Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT exhibits a clear short-term retreat and weak consolidation pattern within the 15-minute cycle. Trading volume has increased periodically but the overall downward momentum dominates. Short-term mainstream indicators all lean bearish: MACD dead cross deepening, RSI severely oversold, KDJ continuously hovering at low levels, and rebound momentum insufficient. From a technical perspective, the price has broken below the short-term moving averages and remains close to the lower Bollinger Band, with support concentrated in the 3280-3310 range. Since the Bollinger Band has not yet contracted, there is a risk of continued downward probing of support in the short term. DMI indicates very strong bearish momentum; the rising ADX confirms a clear trend; increased ATR suggests volatility may escalate, making inertial downward movement highly probable in the short term. Regarding long and short positions, big account holdings appear relatively long, but the number of accounts and active buy-sell ratios are inverted, possibly indicating phased profit-taking by large funds; in the short term, no new active offensive breakout pattern has formed. Combining candlestick patterns, after a large bullish candle the upward momentum has weakened; currently, the price is stuck in a sideways down channel, increasing the likelihood of continued pullback. Focus on the first support level at 3280; if breached, the price could test 3275 or even lower. Trading recommendations: primarily observe in the short term. If the price falls to the 3280 zone and a volume decline signal appears, consider light positions to test for a low rebound, and take profits promptly on rallies. However, if the price drops rapidly, avoid blind additional buying and wait for further stabilization. Overall, strict stop-loss measures are essential. Risk warning: short-term oversold conditions do not imply an immediate reversal; after consecutive oversold periods, inertial decline remains likely. It is advisable to remain cautious, patiently awaiting confirmation of a bottoming pattern.