Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 85%
Target Price
3056-3080
Mark Price
3077.1
Actual Price
3101.08
Prediction Result
Based on Bollinger Bands pattern, ETHUSDT has shifted from oscillation to a downward breakout, currently running along the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating extremely weak short-term momentum with dominant bearish forces. All moving average trends have been broken downward; the current price has fallen below all short-cycle averages, and MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA200 are displaying a bearish arrangement, further supporting the expectation of short-term decline. All RSI series indicators are in an extreme oversold zone, suggesting a temporary technical rebound momentum; however, there are no signs of a trend reversal at present, and a pause in the downtrend is needed before observing potential partial rebounds. The MACD negative value is expanding, indicating that the bears' momentum dominates the market with no signs of weakening. Accompanied by increased volume activity, the decline is unlikely to reverse in the short term. The J value of the KDJ indicator is very low; although a short-term rebound is anticipated, the overall selling pressure remains heavy. The +DI and -DI of the DMI indicator show polarization, with ADX exceeding 30, indicating a stable downward trend in the market. Institutional and large holder shorts dominate, while retail longs are at a disadvantage. Market order book data show that large holders' holding ratios have remained above 2.5 times, but prices have failed to stabilize, indicating active short-covering and that longs have fallen short of critical defensive levels. Support levels are around 3077 and 3064, with a psychological support at 3056. A break below this could accelerate decline. Short-term trading is not recommended to bet against the trend; instead, cautious waiting for oversold corrections and signs of stabilization before considering low-level entry is advised. Overall judgment indicates a downward pattern within the 15-minute interval. After retesting the 3056-3080 zone, there may be a partial stabilization and rebound, but the main trend remains bearish, so defensive strategies should be prioritized.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Jan 12, 2026 14:29
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2026-upd5457
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.