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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Dec 01, 2025 15:44
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

2660-2720

Mark Price

2720.71

Actual Price

2746.15

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Breakthrough of the lower Bollinger Band, with Percent_b at -0.380813, indicates the price has fallen below the lower band into an extremely weak zone.
  • All major moving averages (MA5/10/20/50/200) are above the current price, signifying a pronounced bearish alignment.
  • RSI6 is only 5.1, and RSI14 is 17.6, both in the extremely oversold range, with short-term inertia strongly leaning downward.
  • MACD remains in an extremely strong bearish state, with DIF and DEA deeply negative and MACD histogram bars widening.
  • KDJ three lines are at very low levels, with the J-line deeply pulled down; no reversal point is observed in the weak market.
  • DMI clearly indicates a bearish trend, with DMI_minus exceeding DMI_plus by over 30 points, and ADX > 25 reinforcing the trend.
  • The active buy-sell ratio and funding rate both show a dominance of the short side.
  • Volume has expanded significantly, with intense volume during the decline, suggesting that selling pressure remains ongoing.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Based on candlestick charts and technical indicators, ETHUSDT has experienced a waterfall decline in recent cycles, with the price continuously moving along the lower Bollinger Band, repeatedly losing moving average supports, indicating a clear bearish trend. Both MACD and DMI indicators are in extremely strong bearish zones, with increased volume confirming ongoing downward momentum. No effective reversal signals are evident in the short term. Despite the RSI being extremely oversold, a short-term rebound may occur subsequently; however, the downward inertia remains the more probable scenario. Although the bull-to-bear ratio still leans towards bullish, the actual price movement lacks support from the bulls, indicating passive long positions. Furthermore, the funding rate is negative, further confirming a short-term weak market. The three lines of KDJ are at low levels with sluggish movement, but the J-value has not yet reversed, indicating that the directional trend has not switched. The lower Bollinger Band exerts strong resistance; unless a rapid rebound occurs, the inertia suggests a higher probability of continued decline toward the 2660-2720 range. There is no clear support level confirmed at this time, and the downward trend shows no significant stabilization candlestick signals. Trading should focus on short positions, with strict stop-loss controls for chasing shorts. Partial positions can be reduced near previous lows or during sharp intraday declines. Short-term stop-loss is recommended around the middle Bollinger Band at approximately 2815. If the price falls below 2660, caution should be taken to observe for rapid rebounds and volume spikes; otherwise, the continued downward trend remains expected.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(5.114) rsi12(17.2851) rsi14(17.5913)
  • MACD:dif(-17.5185) dea(-9.7193) macd(-15.5984)
  • MA:ma5(2783.16) ma10(2783.16) ma20(2814.63)
  • Boll:up(2868.86) mid(2814.63) down(2760.4)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:5476580.761 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.57%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.4746
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Dec 01, 2025 15:44

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd4657

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.