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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Nov 28, 2025 22:09
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3000-3020

Mark Price

3031.9

Actual Price

3026.5

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price of 3031.9 is significantly close to the middle-lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with percent_b=0.25, indicating overall weakness and not yet entering a strong zone.
  • The MACD is negative (DIF -0.3421, DEA 0.8057, MACD -2.2956), reflecting a short-term downward momentum release process.
  • RSI6 is only 16.59, in a severely oversold state. RSI12/14/24 are all neutral or weak, highlighting evident short-term weakness.
  • The KDJ indicator's J value is very low at 3.37, indicating oversold conditions with downward trends in K and D values, demonstrating relative weakness.
  • The ratio of long to short accounts is 1.92, with large account long/short holdings ratio reaching 2.89, showing that main funds remain skewed toward long positions. However, the active buy/sell ratio is only 0.56, indicating short-term downward pressure dominates.
  • ATR (13.61) and current volatility are low, implying no significant rebound is imminent, and further downward support may be tested.
  • Support level S1 is around 2992.1, less than 40 USD below the current price, with a retracement support demand evident.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently in a weak correction phase on the 15-minute cycle, with MACD remaining below the zero axis for an extended period, indicating short-term bearish momentum. The RSI6 is extremely low, signaling overbought conditions, but RSI12/14 show no clear rebound expectation. Coupled with the J value of the KDJ indicator reaching a new low, short-term bears dominate. The Bollinger Bands percent_b is only 0.25, indicating the price is near the lower band. The current trend is weak, and no strong support bounce has formed yet. Large account holdings and the number of accounts are generally skewed toward the long side, implying significant support below. However, the active buy/sell ratio is relatively low, suggesting that main funds lack short-term bullish intentions and are waiting for the price to retrace to support zones before observing capital inflows. Trading volume remains high but without significant volume spikes; volatility is low, indicating market activity but weak directional movement, aligning with short-term correction expectations. Overall, within the next 15-minute cycle, a continuation of weakness and oscillation downward is highly probable, with target retracement in the range of 3000–3020, focusing on S1 support. If the retracement does not break this level, combined with a shift in large account holdings, attention can be paid to potential rebound at lower levels. However, short-term is recommended to remain cautious, avoiding chasing gains or panic selling. Risk control suggestions: If the price falls below S1 (2992.1), timely stop-loss should be implemented; otherwise, further downside toward S2/S3 may occur. If clear buying support is observed at S1, small long positions may be considered, but position sizes should be moderate.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(16.5989) rsi12(42.2266) rsi14(44.764)
  • MACD:dif(-0.3421) dea(0.8057) macd(-2.2956)
  • MA:ma5(3043.09) ma10(3043.09) ma20(3042.06)
  • Boll:up(3062.73) mid(3042.06) down(3021.39)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:3919859.361 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.2%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.9214
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 28, 2025 22:09

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd4630

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.