Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
2766-2780
Mark Price
2789.96
Actual Price
2782.94
Prediction Result
Based on the 15-minute candlestick chart and technical indicators for ETHUSDT, the current trend is clearly dominated by a bearish phase. The MACD bearish momentum histogram continues to expand, and both DIF and DEA are trending downward, showing no signs of a short-term rebound. The current closing price (2789.96) is below the MA5, MA10, and MA20 moving averages, while slightly above the long-term MA200, indicating that although there is some short-term support, a meaningful rebound is unlikely. The lower Bollinger Band support is at 2777.65; a breakdown of this level would seek support at S2 (2766.87). From a market structure perspective, the active buy-sell ratio and large account long-short position ratio are somewhat skewed bullish, but this positive divergence contrasted with the price structure divergence instead signals more passive stop-loss risks among bulls in the short term, exerting pressure on the price. In the DMI indicator, the DMI-minus line is significantly ahead, and the ADX remains above 27, indicating a strong downtrend with momentum not yet exhausted. Currently, volatility is moderate (ATR=16.339, volatility=0.0036), but the candlestick chart shows no volume-driven resumption of decline. Trading volume and turnover are in a phase of slow bearish digestion. Short-term support is concentrated around 2768-2770, and if this support fails without effect, the price may quickly descend toward S3 (2707). In the case of a weak rebound, it is expected to face resistance from MA5 and the middle Bollinger Band (2817.12). Overall, the bias remains bearish. Operational advice: do not blindly buy the dip. Closely monitor support breaches. If the 2770-2766 level breaks down, consider a light short position following the trend towards the 2707-2730 zone. If a short-term rebound stabilizes above MA10, wait for more definitive signals. The overall outlook is predominantly bearish, so exercise caution with low-volume entries.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Nov 24, 2025 00:49
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd4519
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.