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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Nov 21, 2025 08:09
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 83%

Target Price

2670-2700

Mark Price

2732.5

Actual Price

2749.89

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger percent_b is 0.022287, with the price approaching the lower band, implying that the downward momentum is likely to continue and an immediate rebound is unlikely.
  • The MACD dif and dea are both negative, with the MACD further expanding (-14.0667), indicating increased bearish momentum.
  • RSI across multiple periods is extremely low (14.9-30.4). Although severely oversold in the short term, no signs of a bottom have appeared, and rebound strength is weak.
  • The J value in the KDJ is higher than K/D lines but only indicates a brief technical correction without clear reversal signals; the likelihood of maintaining weakness remains high.
  • The moving average system is visibly arranged in a bearish pattern, with MA5 far below MA10/20/50, trending downward and distant from longer-cycle averages, continuing to exert downward pressure.
  • The active buy/sell ratio is 0.8211, with weaker buying compared to selling; market funds do not support upward movement.
  • Although large accounts' long/short positions ratio and the number of large accounts are biased toward bullish, the price has not been driven higher; this suggests active short-covering or position locking over a short period rather than a trend reversal.
  • The DMI indicator is dominated by bears (dmi_minus 42.6299 far exceeds dmi_plus 5.654), and ADX is at 48.73, clearly indicating a strong trend of decline.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT current lower Bollinger Band has been touched, but the percent_b remains extremely low, indicating the downward trend has not stabilized and is not in a strong rebound zone; there is still room for further decline below. The MACD has been in the negative zone for an extended period and shows signs of further decline; short-term K-line does not display significant volume contraction or a clear halt in the decline, suggesting a high probability of continued bearishness. The overall moving average system is arranged in a bearish configuration, with the current price far below all cyclical moving averages. While the financing rate is normal, absent bullish capital driving, it is likely to continue inertial selling pressure. RSI indicators across multiple periods are in oversold regions but still trending downward; short-term technical rebound may occur slightly, but it is very unlikely to form an effective reversal, showing clear signs of bearish dominance. The J line of the KDJ indicator has slightly rebounded, but actual K/D lines are still at low levels and have not formed a golden cross, indicating the downtrend has not ended and the reversal probability is lower than inertia-driven decline. Active buying and selling ratio has been below 1 for a long time, indicating market momentum is biased towards the bear side; combined with a significant increase in trading volume over the past 15 minutes and expanding declines, this suggests panic selling pressure has not ended, making short-term stabilization unlikely. The long-term bullish versus bearish open positions ratio and the number of large accounts show a slight bias towards bullish, but actual capital activity has failed to push the price up. This suggests some funds are locking in positions or passively closing shorts rather than actively going long. The DMI bearish indicator is very strong, with the ADX far exceeding the critical threshold, indicating a systemic downtrend has formed. It is expected that the market will remain in inertial decline over the next 15 minutes. In summary, ETHUSDT is extremely weak in the short term. It is recommended to observe cautiously or take light positions to attempt short-term shorting. Stop-loss should be set above 2720 to prevent rapid rebounds. The short-term target range is 2670-2700. If high trading volume occurs during the decline, a brief rebound might happen; however, the trend has not clearly reversed, so it is premature to bottomfish.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(14.9499) rsi12(15.8085) rsi14(23.882)
  • MACD:dif(-26.7108) dea(-19.6775) macd(-14.0667)
  • MA:ma5(2743.19) ma10(2743.19) ma20(2791.69)
  • Boll:up(2854.06) mid(2791.69) down(2729.32)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:9874358.651 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.41%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.3860
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 21, 2025 08:09

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd4468

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.