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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Nov 21, 2025 07:25
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

2720-2760

Mark Price

2764.38

Actual Price

2733.08

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price has fallen below the middle Bollinger Band (2803.15) and is approaching the lower band (2773.19); percent_b is at -0.145298, indicating weakness with further downside potential.
  • All MACD indicators (dif, dea, macd) are significantly negative and expanding, representing strong short-term downward momentum.
  • The RSI across multiple timeframes is extremely oversold (RSI6 at 7.9, RSI14 at 25.96), indicating potential rebounds but with a higher probability of continued weakness.
  • The J-value of KDJ is negative and far below K and D, indicating accelerated decline and persistent bearish forces.
  • All moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20, MA50) are below the 200-day MA, with MA5 significantly lower than MA200, showcasing an obvious bearish trend.
  • The active buy-sell ratio is only slightly above 1 (1.0121), with both retail and institutional positions leaning bullish; however, the ongoing decline suggests that the bulls are passively being beaten, with dominance firmly in bears' hands.
  • ADX reaches as high as 41, with DMI_minus far exceeding DMI_plus, signaling an extreme unidirectional decline with no reversal signs.
  • Trading volume has not shown a significant uptick; coupled with the continuous price decline, this indicates bearish pressure remains unabsorbed, and rebound momentum is limited.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The recent 15-minute trend of ETHUSDT, observed from the candlestick chart, shows a continuous waterfall-like decline, dominated by bearish momentum, with very weak rebound strength. From a technical perspective, the lower Bollinger Band is approaching, and percent_b is negative, indicating the current weakness zone, with a high probability of further decline. The MACD indicators are all trending downward, with the bearish momentum lines widening, displaying an extremely bearish trend; aligned with RSI being deeply oversold, but due to negative KDJ J-values and their distance from K and D lines, subsequent decline inertia remains. In terms of moving averages, all MA lines are arranged in a bearish order, far below the 200-day MA, with short-term MAs descending rapidly without signs of reversal. Although the main force position is slightly bullish, active buying and selling are only marginally bullish, which limits their impact in an extremely bearish market; clear signs of a 'buying the dip' trap are evident. The DMI directional indicator shows a weakened market trend, with a high ADX reinforcing the downward trend, potentially accelerating the search for a bottom. Volume structure does not show significant increase, indicating that the bulls' attempt to resist has failed; after an unsuccessful rebound, the market will likely continue downward. Overall assessment suggests the lower target zone is temporarily set at 2720-2760, with continued inertia-based downward movement expected within the next 15 minutes; minor technical rebounds might occur but will not reverse the bearish dominance. It is recommended to stay strictly on the sidelines or hold small short positions, with stop-loss tight above 2765, and exercise caution while waiting for a clearer trend realization.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(7.9128) rsi12(25.0962) rsi14(25.9691)
  • MACD:dif(-17.0995) dea(-14.5945) macd(-5.0101)
  • MA:ma5(2783.61) ma10(2783.61) ma20(2803.15)
  • Boll:up(2833.1) mid(2803.15) down(2773.19)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:8697825.108 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.28%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.8520
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 21, 2025 07:25

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd4463

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.