LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Nov 21, 2025 06:55
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

2770-2790

Mark Price

2794.82

Actual Price

2785.33

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger percent_b is 0.203, price is close to the lower band, indicating ongoing downward pressure.
  • MACD is negative (dif: -13.789, dea: -13.5549, macd: -0.4683) and in a death cross state, suggesting short-term weakening trend.
  • RSI6 is 18.16 and RSI12 is 38.64, both in oversold territory, reflecting weak momentum and lacking early signs of a bottom reversal.
  • KDJ's J value is only 20.25, with low K and D values, indicating incomplete momentum release and weak rebound signals.
  • DMI's +DI is only 8.95, while -DI is as high as 27.43, clearly favoring the bears; ADX at 38 indicates a strong trend.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is 0.87, showing more active sellers; however, the number of long and short accounts and major holder positions are significantly skewed toward longs (over 3.8 and 2.9), implying large players hold most chips but no offensive move has yet been initiated.
  • All moving averages are downward sloping; MA5/MA10/MA20 are below the recent high of 2837.3, and the current price has broken all short-term averages, indicating an obvious downtrend.
  • Amplitude is -7.15, with low volatility, signaling a weak trend lacking strong rebound momentum.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Currently, ETHUSDT is in a clear correction trend, with consecutive bearish candlesticks and expanding trading volume jointly indicating that the bears have the advantage. The Bollinger Bands show that the price is operating near the lower band, and the percent_b is only 0.20, suggesting that the short-term stabilization has not occurred yet, and there is a high risk of breaking below the lower band. The moving average system is diverging downward, with MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA50 all effectively broken through by the price, indicating weak short-term rebound signals. The short-term RSI and KDJ both show an extremely oversold state, but due to sufficient bearish momentum, a strong rebound is unlikely in the short term; shorting still has room for profit. The MACD has a death cross, and the momentum bars continue to shrink, indicating the downward momentum is not fully released and the short-term weakness will persist. The DMI indicator shows that the bears dominate, and with the ADX reaching 38, it indicates a strong and sustained downtrend. Although the number of long and short accounts and positions is skewed toward longs, no effective reversal force has formed yet. It is advisable to wait until the bear strength diminishes before deploying a bullish strategy. The overall candlestick chart shows a turbulent decline without clear V-shaped reversal or bottom stabilization recently, indicating that the market sentiment is predominantly cautious. The overall funding rate is low with strong hedging willingness, suggesting a conservative market risk outlook and a high probability of continued decline. In the next 15 minutes, the price is expected to test the 2788.01 (S1 support level). If broken, it may briefly bottom around 2770; a stable rebound in this range is possible, otherwise the downward risk persists. Short-term trading is recommended to wait for a confirmed sign of stabilization before entering, and avoid panic bottoms. The trading strategy is cautious short-term bearishness, closely monitoring the support levels at 2788/2770. If a stabilizing pattern appears, consider to gradually build long positions; otherwise, follow the trend primarily. Stop loss is recommended at around 2755, with take profit near 2805 for defense.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(18.1666) rsi12(38.6382) rsi14(42.7362)
  • MACD:dif(-13.789) dea(-13.5549) macd(-0.4683)
  • MA:ma5(2799.16) ma10(2799.16) ma20(2809.89)
  • Boll:up(2836.63) mid(2809.89) down(2783.15)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:8514855.108 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.31%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.8286
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 21, 2025 06:55

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd4461

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.