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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Nov 18, 2025 02:17
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

2965-2990

Mark Price

2993.6

Actual Price

3040.31

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Current ETHUSDT price is at the lower Bollinger Band at 2993.6, with percent_b negative (-0.014303), indicating weakness.
  • MA5 (3014.49), MA10 (3018.84), and MA20 (3018.22) are all above the current price, breaking the bullish trend of moving averages and exerting short-term pressure.
  • MACD is in negative territory, despite a subtle golden cross, the overall strength is very weak, with no signs of reversal.
  • RSI6 is only 16.31, far below normal range, indicating severe short-term overselling. While a rebound is possible, current downside momentum is strong.
  • J value of KDJ is extremely low (3.75) and far below K/D, suggesting ongoing short-term downward inertia and a bearish trend.
  • Active buy/sell ratio is below 1 (0.8726), reflecting weak buying power in the short term.
  • Long/short account and position ratios are all very high (3.7+, 3.1+, 4.5+), indicating large traders are heavily net short, with strong bearish pressure and continued short-term downside momentum.
  • DMI shows a significant negative value (dmi_minus 24.94) exceeding the positive (dmi_plus 14.44), and ADX remains relatively low (16.32), indicating ample ongoing downward momentum.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT current 15-minute cycle shows severe short-term pressure, with the price near or breaking below the lower Bollinger Band, while all moving averages are significantly above the current price, forming a clear bullish-to-bearish reversal pattern. Although MACD shows a slight golden cross, it remains predominantly in the low zone, indicating that short-term bullish momentum has not been effectively established. The overall market remains weak. The RSI6 has fallen sharply below the normal range, suggesting a rebound demand but more likely reflecting a minor technical correction; bullish signals are insufficient to trigger a large-scale rebound. The KDJ indicator exhibits obvious bearish inertia, especially with the J value being extremely low, indicating ongoing short-term decline. The active buying and selling ratio is below 1, showing market participants currently leaning toward selling. Combining data from large accounts and long/short positions, it is clear that large capital is predominantly bearish, with market sentiment cautious and biased toward the downside, further confirming the short-term downward trend. DMI and ADX data support that current momentum remains vigorous, though no reversal is observed. Effective support levels have not yet been identified; primary resistance lies above R3 (3248.5), and the current price is relatively far from it, making short-term rebound difficult. During the decline, volume has seen a few volume-spike down candles, with good price-volume coordination during the downward move. It is expected that ETHUSDT will continue to be weak in the next 15 minutes, possibly dropping to the 2965-2990 range. If a very short-term rebound occurs, its scope will be limited, with the market still dominated by bears. Notably, during extreme oversold conditions, short-term corrections may appear, but the trend has not reversed, and downside risks remain high. Short-term trading should follow the trend, with minimal long positions for short-term testing. Do not build large contrarian positions, and strict risk management and stop-loss execution are required.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(16.3142) rsi12(41.8898) rsi14(40.3954)
  • MACD:dif(-7.7826) dea(-8.5094) macd(1.4537)
  • MA:ma5(3014.49) ma10(3014.49) ma20(3018.22)
  • Boll:up(3042.24) mid(3018.22) down(2994.21)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6655376.561 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.44%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.7015
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 18, 2025 02:17

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd4311

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.