Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
3420-3450
Mark Price
3489.69
Actual Price
3481.8
Prediction Result
Comprehensive technical indicator analysis indicates that ETHUSDT is currently in a clear overbought condition. The price has broken above the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, which in technical analysis usually signals a potential pullback in price. The RSI6 indicator has reached an extreme overbought level of 94.87, which typically makes sustained prices difficult and indicates a technical correction. Additionally, the RSI12 and RSI14 are both above 65, confirming the overbought state. From the moving average system perspective, although the short-term moving averages MA5 (3474.12) and MA10 (3456.82) remain above MA20 (3450.57), the price has moved far from the support of these moving averages, creating downward pressure. While the MACD maintains a golden cross, both DIF and DEA are at high levels, and the MACD histogram is at 9.99, suggesting that upward momentum may weaken. The funding rate is negative, indicating that short position holders are able to earn funding fees, which to some extent encourages short positions and exerts downward pressure on the price. From a volume perspective, the 24-hour trading volume is relatively large, but it is necessary to observe whether there is a significant increase in volume during the decline signaling a possible reversal. Support level analysis shows that the primary support is near S1 at approximately 3413.75, which is also close to the middle Bollinger Band at 3450.57; the price is expected to retrace toward this region. Considering the current extreme overbought condition and the resonance signals of technical indicators, it is recommended that in the short term, the price will undergo a correction, with the target range between 3420 and 3450, encompassing the middle Bollinger Band and key support levels. Trading suggestion: Consider opening a short position near the current level with a tight stop-loss set above 3510, and take profit within the 3430-3450 range. Control position size and risk strictly.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Nov 12, 2025 09:26
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd4174
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.