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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Nov 12, 2025 09:26
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3420-3450

Mark Price

3489.69

Actual Price

3481.8

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price of 3489.69 has broken above the upper Bollinger Band at 3482.31; the Bollinger Band percentage is 1.113626, indicating a severe overbought state.
  • The RSI6 indicator is as high as 94.87, far exceeding the 70 overbought threshold, signaling significant short-term correction pressure.
  • The MACD indicators show DIF at 9.26 and DEA at 4.27; although a golden cross is present, both are at high levels and in a plateau phase.
  • The J value in KDJ is at 107.01, heavily overbought, and the K value is 83.77, also at a high level.
  • A negative funding rate of -0.00004934 indicates that long positions have a lower holding cost and that short positions hold a funding advantage.
  • The 24-hour amplitude is -2.398%, reflecting a correction and retracement phase.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Comprehensive technical indicator analysis indicates that ETHUSDT is currently in a clear overbought condition. The price has broken above the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, which in technical analysis usually signals a potential pullback in price. The RSI6 indicator has reached an extreme overbought level of 94.87, which typically makes sustained prices difficult and indicates a technical correction. Additionally, the RSI12 and RSI14 are both above 65, confirming the overbought state. From the moving average system perspective, although the short-term moving averages MA5 (3474.12) and MA10 (3456.82) remain above MA20 (3450.57), the price has moved far from the support of these moving averages, creating downward pressure. While the MACD maintains a golden cross, both DIF and DEA are at high levels, and the MACD histogram is at 9.99, suggesting that upward momentum may weaken. The funding rate is negative, indicating that short position holders are able to earn funding fees, which to some extent encourages short positions and exerts downward pressure on the price. From a volume perspective, the 24-hour trading volume is relatively large, but it is necessary to observe whether there is a significant increase in volume during the decline signaling a possible reversal. Support level analysis shows that the primary support is near S1 at approximately 3413.75, which is also close to the middle Bollinger Band at 3450.57; the price is expected to retrace toward this region. Considering the current extreme overbought condition and the resonance signals of technical indicators, it is recommended that in the short term, the price will undergo a correction, with the target range between 3420 and 3450, encompassing the middle Bollinger Band and key support levels. Trading suggestion: Consider opening a short position near the current level with a tight stop-loss set above 3510, and take profit within the 3430-3450 range. Control position size and risk strictly.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(94.8718) rsi12(66.1508) rsi14(67.1003)
  • MACD:dif(9.2639) dea(4.2696) macd(9.9888)
  • MA:ma5(3474.12) ma10(3474.12) ma20(3450.57)
  • Boll:up(3482.31) mid(3450.57) down(3418.84)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:3937787.607 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.31%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.6010
AI Model Information

Used Model

claude-sonnet-4-20250514

Prediction Date

Nov 12, 2025 09:26

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd4174

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.