Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
3480-3505
Mark Price
3528.01
Actual Price
3524.9
Prediction Result
Comprehensive technical analysis indicates that ETHUSDT is currently in a clear downward trend. The current price of 3528 has broken below the lower Bollinger Band at 3530.28, indicating sustained selling pressure. In the short term, the price may continue to seek support. From the candlestick chart movement, the price has experienced a retracement from the high of 3600 and is now testing an important support zone. Trading volume data shows a 24-hour transaction volume of 4,268,265.947, indicating relatively active trading. However, the amplitude of -2.022% reflects a generally weak overall session. The combination of technical indicators shows clear bearish signals: MACD with a deep negative divergence and ongoing widening, RSI across multiple periods all in oversold zones, and the J line in KDJ indicator dropping into single digits. These suggest the price may continue to face pressure in the near term. Support and resistance analysis indicates key support levels at S1 (3505.55) and S2 (3380.71). Given the current technical weakness, it is likely that the price will test the support level near 3505. Capital flow data shows an active buy-sell ratio of only 0.6278, indicating selling pressure significantly exceeds buying pressure. This is consistent with the overall weak technical outlook. Despite the large account long-short ratio of 2.5026 suggesting a bias toward longs, this may reflect a trapped position rather than new bullish strength. Trading strategy recommendation: Given the broad weakness in technical signals, it is advisable to adopt a wait-and-see approach or take light short positions. If the price rebounds to the 3540-3550 range, consider shorting on rallies with targets around 3505-3480. Risk management: Set stop-loss for short positions above 3560, near the middle Bollinger Band. If the price can regain stabilization above 3560 accompanied by increased trading volume, a reassessment of the trend is necessary. From volatility indicators, ATR at 18.39 indicates recent high market volatility. The DMI indicator shows DI- at 27.52 significantly higher than DI+ at 15.63, further confirming the current bearish trend. Traders should closely monitor the support at 3505; a breakdown could accelerate the decline toward 3480 or lower.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Nov 11, 2025 14:15
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd4143
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.