Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
3550-3580
Mark Price
3576.26
Actual Price
3563.45
Prediction Result
The technical outlook for ETHUSDT currently exhibits明显的bearish characteristics. The price at 3576.26 is within the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with a Bollinger %B value of only 0.29, indicating a bias toward the lower band. The RSI indicator combination shows short-term oversold conditions (RSI6=6.41) but remains somewhat weak in the mid-term (RSI14=37.26). This divergence suggests a technical rebound might be possible, but the overall trend remains bearish. Key signals from the MACD indicator: The DIF line (5.22) is positive but below the DEA line (9.68); the MACD histogram is negative (-8.82), indicating that bearish momentum is decreasing, and the price may continue to decline. The moving average system shows the price has broken below the MA5 and MA10; although the MA20 (3592.49) still provides some support, the short-term bearish alignment of moving averages implies the downtrend may persist. All three lines of the KDJ indicator are in low positions, with the J line notably negative (-7.10). Although oversold, no clear bottom reversal signal has formed. Combined with volatility data, ATR of 21.47 indicates moderate volatility. Regarding market sentiment, the active buy/sell ratio of 0.81 indicates considerable selling pressure. Despite large traders’ long/short positions ratio (2.83) and account count ratio (2.48) leaning bullish, these have not prevented the price from falling, suggesting that bullish forces are currently insufficient. Support and resistance analysis: key support levels are at S1 (3505.55) and S2 (3440.50), while resistance is at R1 (3658.00). The current price is closer to the support levels, implying limited downside space. Overall judgment: In the short term, ETHUSDT may continue seeking support within the target range of 3550-3580. If the price breaks below 3550, it might test lower support around 3505. Further, it is advisable to wait for a clear RSI divergence or a golden cross in the KDJ before considering long opportunities.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Nov 11, 2025 04:49
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd4115
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.