Deepredict
Bullish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
3680-3720
Mark Price
3642.64
Actual Price
3594.64
Prediction Result
Comprehensive analysis indicates that ETHUSDT is currently in a strong upward phase. The price has broken above the upper Bollinger Band, which in technical analysis typically signifies strong upward momentum. The current price of 3642.64 considerably exceeds the upper Bollinger Band of 3613.47, and the Bollinger Band width of 0.027 is within a reasonable range, supporting further upside movement. The MACD indicator is extremely strong, with the DIF line at 11.198 significantly above the DEA line at 4.395, and the widening gap between the two lines indicates accelerating bullish momentum. Additionally, the MACD histogram at 13.6047 is strongly positive, confirming the continuation of the bullish trend. This MACD configuration usually signals that the price will continue to rise. Although the RSI indicator shows an overbought condition, in a strong trend, the RSI can remain in overbought territory for an extended period. The RSI6 at 88.62, although high, has not reached the extreme overbought level above 95, leaving room for further gains. Historical data shows that RSI overbought readings during strong breakouts do not necessarily imply an immediate correction. The moving average system exhibits a perfect bullish alignment, with the price standing firmly above all major moving averages. The close arrangement of short-term moving averages MA5 and MA20 indicates a stable upward trend, while the long-term moving average MA200 at 3525.41 provides strong support. This moving average configuration provides a solid technical foundation for continued upward movement. Market sentiment indicators also support a bullish view. The large investor long-short holding ratio of 2.94 shows a clear net long bias among large capital holdings. The ratio of long to short accounts at 2.19 further confirms retail investor sentiment is leaning optimistic. The active buying and selling ratio of 1.04 indicates slightly stronger buying pressure than selling, and a clear trend of capital inflow. From resistance and support analysis, the first resistance level R1 is near 3658, which will serve as a short-term target. Considering the current strong breakout momentum and supporting indicators, the price is likely to test the 3680-3720 range. This zone is determined based on Fibonacci retracement levels and prior significant resistance points in technical analysis. For risk management, it is recommended to place a stop loss near 3613, which coincides with the upper Bollinger Band and acts as a key support level. If the price falls back below this point, the breakout would be invalidated, and a stop loss should be executed promptly. Profit-taking should be staged gradually; partial position reductions can be considered around the 3680 and 3720 levels. Volume analysis shows a 24-hour trading volume of 12.59 billion USD, indicating high market participation and ample liquidity to support continued price increases. The current technical breakout, combined with positive market sentiment, supports the likelihood of further short-term ascent to the target zone.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Nov 11, 2025 01:24
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd4106
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.