Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

The current ETHUSDT price of 3612.83 is in a clearly overbought technical state, with multiple short-term technical indicators signaling a pullback. The Bollinger Bands percentage exceeds 1, indicating the price has exited the normal fluctuation range. The RSI indicator is in an overbought condition across all periods, especially with RSI6 reaching an extremely high level of 83.752. Historical experience shows that such levels often precede a short-term correction. The J line of the KDJ indicator is as high as 95.57, entering a dangerous overbought zone. Although the MACD remains positive, indicating upward momentum, the gap between DIF and DEA is large, potentially forming a divergence signal. The current price is close to the key resistance level of 3658.0, with limited room for upward movement. From a market sentiment perspective, the large-investor long-short position ratio of 2.9388 indicates bullish dominance, but overly concentrated long positions often serve as catalysts for counter-movements. The active buy-sell ratio of 1.0408 is relatively moderate, not indicating strong buying pressure. Technically, the price has moved away from the upper Bollinger Band. According to the Bollinger Band revert-to-the-mean theory, the price is likely to return to the middle band at 3563.79. Combining all overbought indicators suggests a short-term technical correction is expected. The expected correction target ranges between 3580 and 3600, close to the MA5 at 3581.18 and the middle Bollinger Band at 3563.79, providing strong technical support. Risk提示：If the price can volume-break through the resistance level at 3658, the bearish outlook will be invalidated. It is recommended to closely monitor volume changes and RSI divergence signals for confirmation. Trading suggestion: Consider moderately reducing positions or establishing short positions at the current level, targeting the 3580-3600 range. A stop-loss is recommended above 3630 to prevent further upward breakout risks.