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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Nov 04, 2025 18:20
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

3260-3320

Mark Price

3327.8

Actual Price

3388.56

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price of 3327.8 has fallen near the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands (3320.91), with the percent_b at a very low 0.011, indicating obvious overselling but no signs of rebound yet.
  • RSI6 is at 4, RSI12 at 1.8, and RSI14 at only 8.85, indicating extreme short-term overselling, with persistent selling pressure and insufficient upward momentum.
  • The MACD is significantly negative (dif, dea, and macd all negative) without divergence, with ongoing declining momentum, confirming a strong bearish trend.
  • The KDJ indicator's three lines are all at low levels, with J values negative, showing no clear rebound momentum in the very short term.
  • The moving average system shows MA5<MA10<MA20<MA50, all well below MA200, indicating a clear bearish alignment and trend.
  • The active buy-sell ratio in the indicator is only 0.72. Although large bullish traders hold significant positions, they have not been able to push prices higher, indicating that while funds hedge positions, bears dominate.
  • Volatility indicators ATR rising, alongside DMI- significantly exceeding DMI+, with ADX at 34.2, suggest strong bearish momentum and a clear trend.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The candlestick chart shows that in recent cycles, ETHUSDT prices have been accelerating downward, breaking important moving average support levels, and the bearish trend persists. The oversold signals are very strong, especially with RSI6 at extremely low levels, but short-term trading volume has not surged significantly and is mainly in a declining volume pattern, indicating very low short-term recovery sentiment. The moving average system presents a clear bearish alignment, with MA5 and MA10 falling below all medium- and long-term moving averages, indicating a minimal probability of upward rebounds within this cycle. Although market main forces have long positions, the active buy-sell ratio and actual price reactions confirm short-term dominance by the bears. The volatility indicators ATR and DMI both show intensified short-term volatility, with an accelerating distribution trend. Current support levels are difficult to identify, and resistance levels are distant and lack practical reference value. Overall, it is judged that the future 15-minute cycle will continue to weaken, possibly testing near the lower boundary of 3320, then further seeking new support levels. The range is unlikely to stabilize; the expected low points are between 3260 and 3320. It is not advisable to go long on dips in the short term; watching or short-selling may be appropriate. Aggressive traders may wait around 3260 to observe changes in bullish and bearish sentiment and volume patterns before attempting a short-term rebound. The main trading strategy remains trend-following short selling, with a strict stop-loss set below 3250 and a short-term take profit between 3310 and 3320.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(4.0159) rsi12(1.8425) rsi14(8.8563)
  • MACD:dif(-43.4756) dea(-26.3569) macd(-34.2374)
  • MA:ma5(3363.83) ma10(3363.83) ma20(3465.6)
  • Boll:up(3610.29) mid(3465.6) down(3320.91)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7352742.267 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.48%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.1999
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 04, 2025 18:20

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd3909

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.