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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Nov 04, 2025 00:27
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3530-3570

Mark Price

3571.36

Actual Price

3368.22

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price is close to the lower band of the Bollinger Bands (lower_band: 3564.18), and the %b is as low as 0.109394, indicating room for further decline.
  • Although the MACD shows a slight rebound (macd: 4.2983), both dif and dea are negative, suggesting overall weak momentum.
  • Multiple cycle RSI values are low (rsi6: 37.59, rsi24: 32.16), with no clear overselling signals, implying room for further downward movement.
  • All MA cycle averages are bearish (MA5: 3591.74 < MA10: 3587.55 < MA20: 3595.38), and the current price is significantly below MA50 and MA200, demonstrating a classic bearish alignment.
  • The J value in KDJ is below K and D, indicating short-term momentum depletion and dominance of bears.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is 1.0185; long-short accounts and large holder soars are extremely skewed towards longs (>3 and >2 respectively). However, this excessive bullishness breeds short-term traps and potential rapid reversals.
  • DMI indicates bearish dominance (dmi_minus: 33.17 > dmi_plus: 13.58), with ADX above 30 (32.60), confirming an established downtrend.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT price experienced significant decline yesterday, currently in a technical correction cycle. The candlestick chart shows a downward trend, and recent rebounds within the 15-minute timeframe are weak. Although the MACD indicator has experienced a brief recovery, the main trend (dif, dea) remains bearish, indicating short-term rebound weakness and a high probability of maintaining a downward momentum. The MA5-20 moving averages are in a bearish alignment, with the price below all medium- to long-term moving averages, and far from MA200, indicating significant capital withdrawal. The Bandwidth of Bollinger Bands has increased (0.017353), with the lower band not yet forming a strong support level. The %b is low but not at extremes, suggesting potential further testing of lower levels in the short term. RSI across multiple periods remains in weak territory without signs of severe overselling, indicating persistent bearish pressure. The KDJ indicator also shows weakness, reflecting trend inertia. Volume has oscillated and increased, implying continued selling pressure at lower levels and heightened panic among longs. The long-short account ratio and large account holdings are extremely skewed towards longs, indicating retail and institutional participants are predominantly bullish, which could lead to short-term short covering and trapping (risk point). Short-term long positions are not stable. Combining DMI and ADX trend indicators, bearish momentum continues to strengthen. Without clear signs of capital inflow reversing in the short term, a further decline of 15-40 points is expected. Overall assessment suggests that in the next 15 minutes, the price may oscillate and decline within the 3530-3570 range. It is advisable to adopt a wait-and-see approach or consider shorting on rebounds. Pursuing longs at high levels carries significant risk, and stop-loss should be strictly set above 3580 to prevent sudden reversals.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(37.5953) rsi12(43.4753) rsi14(43.8459)
  • MACD:dif(-14.1814) dea(-16.3305) macd(4.2983)
  • MA:ma5(3591.74) ma10(3591.74) ma20(3595.38)
  • Boll:up(3626.58) mid(3595.38) down(3564.18)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6607338.262 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.3%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.4643
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 04, 2025 00:27

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd3900

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.