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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Oct 31, 2025 17:58
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

3780-3755

Mark Price

3824.18

Actual Price

3829.01

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Percent B is at 0.166096, with the price near the lower band; the current bandwidth is relatively narrow, implying potential for further decline.
  • The price is below MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA50 moving averages, with all averages trending downward, indicating a weak market trend.
  • RSI6 is at 14.36, RSI12 at 28.93, and RSI14 at 38.89, all in deeply oversold zones, suggesting short-term rebound possibility but insufficient strength.
  • MACD is negative, with DIF and DEA both below zero, and MACD histogram at -9.43, indicating ongoing bearish momentum.
  • KDJ indicators K, D, J are all low, with J further declining, which shows that momentum has yet to recover.
  • Active buy/sell ratio is at 1.19 and large account holdings ratio exceeds 2.7, indicating some funding bias towards long positions, but the price has not responded accordingly, increasing bullish-bearish divergence and suggesting market correction to the downside remains primary.
  • ATR is at 20.87, indicating relatively weak volatility, with limited short-term downside space; support level S1 at 3755.81 is close.
  • timeframe: 15m
  • confidence: 85
  • targetPrice: 3780-3755
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT short-term technical indicators are notably weak, with Bollinger Bands, moving average system, and multiple indicators such as MACD, KDJ, RSI all signaling bear market conditions. The price has repeatedly broken below or touched the lower band multiple times, indicating persistent downward pressure. The MACD histogram is widening, and RSI remains in oversold territory. Although some individual data suggest a potential for rebound, the market has not shown a clear reversal in strength, with limited bounce height. The active buy/sell ratio and large institutional holdings remain leaning bullish, but have yet to generate significant upward momentum. Short-term bullish capital is lacking coordination, indicating predominantly corrective downward movement. The price has fallen back into support zones and is likely to continue approaching S1 level at 3755.81 within the upcoming cycle. Downside space is constrained by ATR and volatility metrics, preventing extreme acceleration downward; however, weakness in the market suggests a high probability of correction. Trading volume has not significantly increased, indicating gentle release of bearish momentum. The short-term trend remains in a consolidation phase with continued downward oscillation. A high ratio of large account holdings coupled with weak upward price movement suggests the funding structure has yet to reverse. Operational recommendation is to short on rallies with target zones between 3780 and 3755. If the price breaks below support S1, timely stop-loss measures are necessary to avoid misjudgment. Conversely, if volume expands and technical indicators show signs of recovery, it may be prudent to wait for a rebound before resuming positions. Risk warning: In the event of short-term capital inflows during trading hours or rapid upward movements in K-line patterns, strategies should be flexibly adjusted prioritizing risk management to prevent abrupt reversals.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(14.3637) rsi12(28.9389) rsi14(38.8965)
  • MACD:dif(-5.8256) dea(-1.111) macd(-9.4293)
  • MA:ma5(3820.98) ma10(3820.98) ma20(3846.4)
  • Boll:up(3879.86) mid(3846.4) down(3812.93)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:4435092.429 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.27%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.7722
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Oct 31, 2025 17:58

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd3858

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.