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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Oct 31, 2025 07:20
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3780-3810

Mark Price

3833.23

Actual Price

3835.51

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger percent_b is at 0.405, with the current price near the lower middle band without breaking through it, indicating downward pressure.
  • MACD is negative (macd: -8.7733), and the DIF line is significantly below the DEA, pointing to increasing bearish momentum.
  • RSI6 and RSI12 are notably below 50 (at 32.22 and 27.81, respectively), showing short-term oversold conditions. Though a rebound is possible, the overall trend remains weak.
  • KDJ indicator's three lines are low; K-line and J-line are significantly below 50, reflecting short-term dominance of the bears.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is 0.9895 (below 1), indicating that market buyers lack clear advantage, and further downward movement is likely.
  • While the large traders’ long-short position ratio is high, the current market price is weak, implying that large traders’ bullish intent has not successfully driven a rebound.
  • The short-term moving averages (MA5/MA10/MA20) are trending downward; the price is below all short-term moving averages, indicating a short-cycle bearish trend.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has experienced a strong decline in the past 15 minutes, with the price falling from around 4200 to the current range of 3800. The overall trend remains weak, and increased trading volume has not yet triggered a noticeable rebound. The 15-minute candlestick chart shows a downward channel structure, with limited rebound strength. The Bollinger Bands' upper and lower bands have narrowed, with the price leaning towards the lower band and unable to break through the middle band, indicating a more apparent downtrend. Both percent_b and bandwidth suggest a bearish oscillation within the range. The MACD indicator's dashed line and DEA average are both negative, and the histogram bars are accelerating downward, demonstrating strong downward momentum. The RSI across multiple timeframes is in oversold territory with no clear rebound signals; short-term rebounds may occur technically but are likely to be limited in longevity. Market long and short positions are skewed towards longs; however, the active buy-sell ratio is below 1, indicating that although large traders show a bullish intent, actual trading volume has not established a dominant buying force, reflecting overall market lack of confidence. Volatility indicators ATR and DMI show that prices are still in a downtrend with decreasing volatility. The low ADX value indicates insufficient trend strength, suggesting the market is mainly characterized by weak sideways movement downward. Considering support and resistance levels, the resistance zone is significantly higher than the current price, making a breakout difficult in the short term. Bulls are defending support around 3677.7, with a high probability that the price will test short-term support between 3800 and 3780. A breakdown below this level would test S1 downward. In summary, it is recommended to short in line with the trend, targeting the range of 3780-3810. If an oversold rebound occurs, be vigilant with strict stop-loss placement at 3839.2 (the 10-period moving average). If price breaks above the 20-period moving average, then consider adopting a wait-and-see stance.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(32.2255) rsi12(27.8138) rsi14(52.8294)
  • MACD:dif(5.9679) dea(10.3545) macd(-8.7733)
  • MA:ma5(3831.1) ma10(3831.1) ma20(3839.26)
  • Boll:up(3871.08) mid(3839.26) down(3807.44)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:5444318.450 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.29%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.0816
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Oct 31, 2025 07:20

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd3846

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.