Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

The ETHUSDT 15-minute K-line chart exhibits a stepwise decline structure, with all recent technical indicators indicating a dominant short-term bearish trend, and the price rebound momentum is severely lacking. The Bollinger Bands are clearly distributed with the current price slightly above the middle band but encountering resistance, while the upper and lower bands are gradually converging, indicating reduced volatility but a higher risk of short-term downside positions. The MACD dead cross persists, with increasing negative histogram bars, indicating extreme overselling but failure of bullish structures to form a reversal. Regarding moving averages, the MA5 and MA10 are significantly below the long-term MA200, with short-term moving averages turning downward. The 20-period moving average accelerates its decline and cannot establish an upward sustaining range. The RSI is in an extremely oversold state with weak rebound strength, confirming a clear bearish dominance. Although the large-volume traders' long-short position ratio and account count ratios show abnormally strong bullish bias, market activity shows no effective counterattack, implying large capital is either liquidating in batches or short-term bulls are in temporary defense. Such divergence is often accompanied by continued short-term declines, and caution is advised against a breakdown below the 3755 level which could trigger a sharp increase in volume selling. The KDJ indicator's J-line has fallen to an extremely low level, suggesting a potential stage rebound; however, when combined with other indicators, it has not been sufficiently repaired, implying a higher probability of short-term downward movement. Market funding rates remain subdued; although active buy orders from bulls are high, they are insufficient to generate a significant upward wave, reflecting liquidity shortage. Support and resistance analysis: Resistance zone ranges (R1 at 4253.0, R3 at 4174.08) are far from the current price, restricting short-term upward space; support at S1 is at 3755.81. A break below this level could lead to further downside risk. During decline, trading volume has partially enlarged, indicating panic-driven exits. The short-term operational recommendation is cautious observation. If a rebound encounters resistance within the 3790-3810 range, a short position can be attempted with a stop-loss placed above 3830; if the price breaks below 3755, it is advisable to follow light short positions aiming for profit-taking around 3730-3750. Avoid counter-trend attempts at rebounds; wait for bottom signals before establishing new positions. Overall analysis indicates that ETHUSDT in the upcoming 15-minute cycle will primarily trend downward, targeting a range of 3750-3780. Risk control is prioritized, and attention should be paid to volume and candlestick pattern signals to detect potential turning points.