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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Oct 30, 2025 19:11
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3690-3735

Mark Price

3730.21

Actual Price

3723.71

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger %B is 0.14078, with the price close to the lower band, indicating overall weakness in the range.
  • MACD is negative, with both DIF and DEA below zero, signifying persistent short-term bearish momentum.
  • KDJ indices are in very low zones (K: 18.68, D: 22.64, J: 10.74), indicating short-term overselling but no signs of a rebound.
  • RSI values are generally below 50 (rsi6: 42.51, rsi14: 38.68), showing weakness and not yet entering oversold rebound territory.
  • Moving averages are in a bearish alignment (MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA50 < MA200), with the price well below long-term averages.
  • The DMI shows a strong downtrend (dmi_minus: 29.85) significantly exceeding the positive (dmi_plus: 11.85), and the ADX is high at 42.614, confirming a powerful and effective downward trend.
  • Active buy/sell ratio is only 0.8485, indicating weak market initiative, and the funding rate is negative (-0.00000612), favoring the bears.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The recent market performance of ETHUSDT shows a continuous downward decline. The candlestick chart indicates a clear stair-step downtrend, with volume measures not showing any reversal, suggesting short-term rebounds are weak. Technical indicators collectively weaken. The MACD remains negative, KDJ is in an extreme oversold area, and there is no evident reversal structure. RSI across multiple timeframes remains below the critical threshold, indicating selling pressure has yet to be fully released. Intraday long-short structure favors the bears. Although large account holdings lean towards long positions, active buying and selling ratios are low, and bullish capital has not formed a strong push. The order book's funding rate is negative, showing a clear short-selling sentiment in the futures/contract market. Volatility and ATR stay at moderately high levels, indicating that the price decline is accompanied by some panic and acceleration. Additionally, the ADX exceeds 40, indicating a strong trend, which suggests that the current downtrend has not yet concluded. Recent support levels have not been activated, with resistance expected around 4253 and 4246 zones. There is currently no effective momentum for a short-term rebound. Support below is not clearly defined, but based on candlestick and moving average structures, there is some accumulation of buy orders below 3730. Overall assessment indicates that in the 15-minute cycle, the downtrend continues. The target range is estimated between 3690 and 3735. In the short term, after repeated oscillations around 3730, the trend is expected to weaken. It is recommended that short holders use moving averages and the lower band as references for short-term profit-taking. If rapid breach below 3690 occurs, attention should be paid to high-frequency volume releases. If no significant rebound happens, it is advised to continue holding short positions, being cautious of extreme selling pressures that could accelerate the decline. Conversely, if a short-term oversold bounce occurs, it would likely be a technical correction; the price remains susceptible to pressure from moving averages and may continue to test lower levels afterward.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(42.5098) rsi12(31.599) rsi14(38.6873)
  • MACD:dif(-28.2614) dea(-27.5237) macd(-1.4754)
  • MA:ma5(3732.98) ma10(3732.98) ma20(3764.83)
  • Boll:up(3813.49) mid(3764.83) down(3716.17)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:5563954.128 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.38%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.4883
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Oct 30, 2025 19:11

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd3832

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.