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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Oct 29, 2025 14:18
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

3922-3950

Mark Price

3981.66

Actual Price

3981.94

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price at 3981.66 is close to the lower Bollinger Band at 3980.43, with percent_b at only 0.035425, indicating a markedly weak position.
  • RSI6 is only 20.1379, indicating severe oversold conditions, with heavy short-term selling pressure, and RSI14 and RSI24 are below typical oscillation levels.
  • MACD is at -4.4234 with a clear death cross, both dif and dea are negative, dominating bearish momentum.
  • KDJ's J-value at 7.509 is far below K and D, implying extreme short-term weakness and no sign of rebound.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is only 0.8346, with active sellers in control, indicating significant short-term selling pressure.
  • Major holding ratios show a long-short ratio of 3.0151 and account count ratio of 2.9494; however, brokerage activity is minimal, and the long-short relationship suggests passive long positions, carrying the risk of being caught on the sidelines.
  • Volatility ATR is at 14.5955, indicating an expanding range; DMI_minus at 28.6319 significantly exceeds DMI_plus at 12.226, confirming pronounced bearish strength. The ADX at 22.0524 suggests trend momentum remains downward.
  • Amplitude is -4.279, with intraday volatility tilted towards the downside, making short-term rebounds difficult.
  • Trading volume has temporarily increased alongside rapid price declines, making strong rebounds unlikely.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Recent price testing the lower band of the Bollinger Bands for ETHUSDT has not resulted in effective stabilization, and the percent_b indicator shows very weak performance, indicating limited upward momentum in the short term. When the price approaches the lower band without a signaling correction, inertia often continues downward to seek support. Both MACD and KDJ exhibit extremely weak market structures, especially MACD's death cross and the extremely low J-value of KDJ, which suggest that the current market is dominated by bears, with insufficient rebound momentum. The probability of short-term upward correction is very low. The RSI indicator is in a low position, with oversold signals clearly evident but no signs of reversal. Despite the short-term technical rebound demand, the main trend remains downward. The expectation is to first test the support below the current range. Active buy-sell ratio and intraday trading volume are rising, indicating capital is deviating from large holdings' bullish trends, reflecting retail selling pressure or large investors potentially experiencing passive stop-losses leading to accumulated long positions. The market sentiment is unlikely to be driven by active buying. Volatility indicators show increased short-term range fluctuations, but the downward trend dominates. The ADX has not surged, indicating increased amplitude without a trend reversal. DMI_minus is significantly higher than DMI_plus, further confirming that bear strength exceeds that of bulls. Considering support and resistance levels, S1 (3925.01), S2 (3922.83), and S3 (3914.3) are recent potential targets. Only after declining into this zone is there a possibility of stabilization or technical rebound. It is advised to adopt a cautious stance within this cycle for long positions, avoiding chasing the market; short positions can be taken selectively, but attention should be paid to whether sell-off volume and rebound structures appear within the 3920-3950 range. For short-term profit-taking, set exit points around S2/S3 and maintain position management. Stop losses are recommended above 4000 to guard against sharp rebounds.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(20.1379) rsi12(34.7048) rsi14(47.4684)
  • MACD:dif(-2.8406) dea(-0.6289) macd(-4.4234)
  • MA:ma5(3997.43) ma10(3997.43) ma20(4001.79)
  • Boll:up(4023.15) mid(4001.79) down(3980.43)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:4061741.280 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.22%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.5600
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Oct 29, 2025 14:18

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd3811

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.