Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 82%
Target Price
3922-3950
Mark Price
3981.66
Actual Price
3981.94
Prediction Result
Recent price testing the lower band of the Bollinger Bands for ETHUSDT has not resulted in effective stabilization, and the percent_b indicator shows very weak performance, indicating limited upward momentum in the short term. When the price approaches the lower band without a signaling correction, inertia often continues downward to seek support. Both MACD and KDJ exhibit extremely weak market structures, especially MACD's death cross and the extremely low J-value of KDJ, which suggest that the current market is dominated by bears, with insufficient rebound momentum. The probability of short-term upward correction is very low. The RSI indicator is in a low position, with oversold signals clearly evident but no signs of reversal. Despite the short-term technical rebound demand, the main trend remains downward. The expectation is to first test the support below the current range. Active buy-sell ratio and intraday trading volume are rising, indicating capital is deviating from large holdings' bullish trends, reflecting retail selling pressure or large investors potentially experiencing passive stop-losses leading to accumulated long positions. The market sentiment is unlikely to be driven by active buying. Volatility indicators show increased short-term range fluctuations, but the downward trend dominates. The ADX has not surged, indicating increased amplitude without a trend reversal. DMI_minus is significantly higher than DMI_plus, further confirming that bear strength exceeds that of bulls. Considering support and resistance levels, S1 (3925.01), S2 (3922.83), and S3 (3914.3) are recent potential targets. Only after declining into this zone is there a possibility of stabilization or technical rebound. It is advised to adopt a cautious stance within this cycle for long positions, avoiding chasing the market; short positions can be taken selectively, but attention should be paid to whether sell-off volume and rebound structures appear within the 3920-3950 range. For short-term profit-taking, set exit points around S2/S3 and maintain position management. Stop losses are recommended above 4000 to guard against sharp rebounds.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Oct 29, 2025 14:18
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd3811
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.