Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT short-term price has fallen to the middle-lower band of the Bollinger Bands; recent K-line charts indicate a clear top retracement and resistance pressure decline. The RSI quickly fell back to around 40, reflecting that in the context of waning bullish momentum, market enthusiasm for long positions is insufficient; no effective bottom signals have emerged recently. All three KDJ lines are at low levels, maintaining weak oscillation, indicating that rebound momentum has not yet gathered and providing space for the market to test lower levels. The 5~50 moving averages have all formed death crosses around 4350, with obvious resistance from the moving averages; the long-term 200 moving average remains well above the current price, and repeated falls below these moving averages increase supply pressure. The DMI indicator shows weak rebound, with clear dominance of the bearish side (DMI- significantly higher than DMI+); the low ADX suggests a trend that is obvious but slow in downward movement, with a predominantly bearish control rhythm. Trading volume has contracted, indicating low willingness among bulls to support the decline; the active buy-sell ratio is below 1, showing no strong bullish counterattack, thus increasing the likelihood of further testing below support levels. Despite the favorable data from large traders' long/short positions, short-term capital inflows cannot dominate a reversal in a weak market, instead providing a hidden risk of a 'buy to buy' panic sell-off. Short-term observation should focus on the S1 support area (4262.55), with no exclusion of testing the lower shadow line. In summary, it is recommended to adopt a wait-and-see approach or light short positions; short-term targets are in the 4325-4360 range. If a quick breakdown occurs, monitor S1 and the 4300 round number support for potential continuation. If an intraday rebound occurs, focus on the moving averages resistance and identify profit-taking points, with stop-loss suggested above 4365.