LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Sep 01, 2025 21:29
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

4230-4265

Mark Price

4274.11

Actual Price

4237.27

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger %b is only 0.037648, the price is near the lower band and has already broken below the middle band, suggesting a high probability of further decline.
  • MA5, MA10, MA20, MA50, and MA200 are all in a bearish arrangement, with short-term moving averages below long-term ones, indicating ongoing downward pressure.
  • RSI6 is 13.539, RSI12 is only 28.4; despite being severely oversold, there are no signs of stabilization, implying a potential for further short-term decline.
  • The MACD DIF and DEA are both negative, with the histogram increasing, indicating waning bullish momentum and no signs of convergence.
  • KDJ lines are severely oversold, with the J value at just 4.03. Although a rebound is possible, the strength is extremely weak.
  • In the DMI indicator, +DI remains far below –DI, and the ADX is high at 32, signifying a dominant bearish trend with significant strength.
  • The negative funding rate, combined with expanding active buy/sell ratios and trading volume, indicates a predominantly bearish market sentiment.
  • The support level at 4264.29 is close; if it fails, the next support at 4254.97 will be challenged.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has experienced a short-term plunge, with the 15-minute candlestick chart showing significant selling pressure. The price is continuously approaching the lower Bollinger Band, and the medium to long-term moving averages are arranged in a fully bearish alignment. The short-term rebound momentum is extremely weak. RSI and KDJ are in the oversold zone, but capital flow indicators such as trading volume and active buy/sell ratios show no clear signs of stabilization or support. There is a risk of further decline below the support zone of 4264-4254. If this level is breached again, a new rapid downtrend may ensue. The MACD bearish momentum continues to diverge, with increasing histogram bars reinforcing the probability of continued decline. While large institutional positions show some level of contest, investor confidence is lacking amid the intense downward environment. Market sentiment indicators reveal a negative funding rate, accelerating bearish sentiment. The proportion of active buy orders is notably low, indicating that bullish entrants are very weak in the short cycle. Volatility and ATR are increasing with the downward movement. A technical rebound may occur in the short term, but the overall trend remains bearish. Without significant buy signals or reversal indicators, it is not advisable to attempt a rebound impulsively. Close attention should be paid to the two critical support levels: 4265 and 4255. Suggested strategy: Short-term traders looking to short can consider establishing short positions near the current price and rebound MA5 (approximately 4290), with a stop loss around the middle Bollinger Band at 4330. If trading volume spikes at the S1/S2 support levels below, attention should be paid to potential oversold rebounds. However, overall positions should be kept light, and sudden sharp increases should be strictly monitored to mitigate risk.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(13.539) rsi12(28.4373) rsi14(36.8371)
  • MACD:dif(-22.5402) dea(-16.25) macd(-12.5803)
  • MA:ma5(4290.26) ma10(4290.26) ma20(4330.03)
  • Boll:up(4391.11) mid(4330.03) down(4268.94)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:5221833.302 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.53%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.0451
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Sep 01, 2025 21:29

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd3093

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.