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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Sep 01, 2025 18:28
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 78%

Target Price

4290-4320

Mark Price

4341.25

Actual Price

4340.75

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price at 4341.25 is approaching below the middle band of Bollinger Bands, with percent_b at 0.31, indicating a relatively low position and a high probability of short-term breakdown.
  • MACD (dif: -19.80, dea: -18.25, macd: -3.11) shows a clear death cross and continues to expand, with bearish momentum strengthening.
  • Multi-cycle RSI (rsi6: 40.79, rsi14: 27.05) remains weak and has not shown oversold reversal signals, with short-term selling pressure still present.
  • MA5 and MA10 are below MA20 and MA50 and are gradually weakening; the bearish alignment of moving averages shows no signs of turning bullish.
  • In KDJ, although J value is higher than K and D, both K and D are at low levels, indicating limited momentum recovery; overall still biased bearish.
  • DMI+ is 13.44 and DMI- is 23.71, indicating a strong bearish advantage; additionally, ADX exceeds 30, reflecting a strong trend.
  • Funding rate is negative, the market favors bears; despite a slight bias towards buying, it may be passive bottom-fishing, and the short-term rebound height is limited.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT short-term exhibits weak decline and oscillates gradually, with the Bollinger Band middle and lower bands running, combined with percent_b at only 0.31, indicating an increased willingness for downward breakout. MACD shows a death cross and the negative value continues to expand, with bearish momentum continuously strengthening, short-term rebound is weak, and the risk leans towards downward movement. Multiple cycle RSI values are below 50, particularly the 14-cycle RSI at only 27, continuing to release short-term selling pressure, with insufficient active buying to refill positions. In terms of moving averages, MA5 and MA10 are significantly below MA20 and MA50, and the gap between MA20 and MA50 is widening, indicating the price faces resistance and struggles to stabilize. KDJ indicator shows that the J value still has momentum and K and D are in low positions, suggesting a short-term need for correction, but an overall golden cross indicating a trend reversal has not yet formed. DMI data combined with strong trend indicated by ADX suggests increasing probability of support at S2 (4264.29) after breaking below S1 (4329.45). Funding rate is negative, indicating institutions attempted to buy the dip but failed to reverse the prevailing bearish sentiment. The current strategy is range trading; if a rebound is resisted at MA10 or MA20, it is advisable to short on rallies; a break below S1 warns of accelerated decline to S2. Overall assessment indicates a high probability of short-term weak oscillation downward within 15 minutes, with caution for testing the support zone at 4290-4320. Strict position control is recommended, and opportunities to short on rallies should be seized. A break below S2 calls for vigilance for further downside expansion.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(40.7989) rsi12(34.6744) rsi14(27.0528)
  • MACD:dif(-19.8044) dea(-18.2484) macd(-3.112)
  • MA:ma5(4327.55) ma10(4327.55) ma20(4360.95)
  • Boll:up(4412.98) mid(4360.95) down(4308.92)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:4597445.936 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.24%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.0358
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Sep 01, 2025 18:28

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd3091

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.